28 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

AC Horsens vs Viborg Superliga prediction & result

Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
Full time2 – 3

Final score: AC Horsens 2-3 Viborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% AC Horsens, 28% draw, 35% Viborg — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

AC Horsens at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AC Horsens0%Draw4%Viborg96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Julius Madsen
34'
34'
⚽D. Hanzaassist: C. Nouck
45'
⚽C. Nouckassist: M. Sondergaard
47'
Oliver Bundgaard
⚽K. Ehibhatiomhanassist: J. Tauriainen
47'
55'
⚽A. Beck
68'
🔁O. Bundgaardout: H. Bidstrup
68'
🔁D. Hanzaout: A. Kleis-Kristoffersen
⚽I. Milicevicassist: J. Tauriainen
71'
🔁A. Justinussenout: J. Korkko
72'
🔁K. Lusavecout: A. Moro
72'
Jimi Tauriainen
77'
🔁J. Tauriainenout: Y. Ouorou
78'
78'
🔁S. Kuzmicout: D. Anyembe
78'
🔁M. Sondergaardout: P. Keller
Adam Herdonsson
82'
🔁I. Milicevicout: K. Kirkegaard
88'
88'
🔁C. Nouckout: F. Damkjer

Match stats — AC Horsens vs Viborg

52%Possession48%
9Shots12
5On target6
3Corners6
0.83xG1.92

Goals against chances

AC Horsens2 from 0.83 xGmore than the chances were worth
Viborg3 from 1.92 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

AC Horsens
  • 1M. DelacG
  • 26V. PalssonD
  • 28A. SaineD
  • 24O. KolskogenD
  • 7I. MilicevicD
  • 17A. HerdonssonM
  • 20K. LusavecM
  • 19J. TauriainenM
  • 14J. MadsenM
  • 15A. JustinussenM
  • 11K. EhibhatiomhanF
Substitutes
  • 31A. HoffG
  • 30S. DouaD
  • 39A. MandrupD
  • 35M. KupijbidaD
  • 18J. KorkkoF
  • 16A. MoroM
  • 22J. BatigiF
  • 10K. KirkegaardM
  • 27Y. OuorouF
Viborg 4-3-3
  • 20K. KiilerichG
  • 30S. KuzmicD
  • 4L. KirkegaardD
  • 5Z. ZaletelD
  • 23O. BundgaardD
  • 8A. BeckM
  • 13J. GronningM
  • 6M. SondergaardM
  • 10S. JalalF
  • 19D. HanzaF
  • 11C. NouckF
Substitutes
  • 1L. LundG
  • 24D. AnyembeD
  • 26H. BidstrupD
  • 38E. MonradD
  • 33F. DamkjerM
  • 34P. KellerM
  • 17O. AddoF
  • 36A. Kleis-KristoffersenF
  • 21B. BrahimiM
Coach: Nickolai Lund

Form going into AC Horsens vs Viborg

AC Horsens

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Lyngby23 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Odense16 August 2026
  • L0-2Brondby9 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Midtjylland2 August 2026
  • D1-1FC Nordsjaelland26 July 2026

Viborg

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0FC Copenhagen23 August 2026
  • W2-1Aarhus14 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Sonderjyske7 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Brondby2 August 2026
  • W1-0Odense24 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7AC Horsens144462323016
3Viborg148242213+926

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs Viborg

  • 4 September 2025AC Horsens 0–1 ViborgDBU Pokalen
  • 4 September 2024AC Horsens 0–4 ViborgDBU Pokalen
  • 25 January 2024Viborg 4–2 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
  • 26 February 2023AC Horsens 0–3 ViborgSuperliga
  • 12 September 2022Viborg 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 9 July 2022Viborg 5–4 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: AC Horsens and Viborg

AC Horsens

GoalsAssists

  • K. Ehibhatiomhan40

Viborg

GoalsAssists

  • Dorian Hanza61
  • M. Søndergaard43
  • C. Nouck33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Viborg won 3–2 at AC Horsens. The model had leaned towards a win for AC Horsens at 37% and given a win for Viborg 35%. The goals: D. Hanza 34' for Viborg, C. Nouck 45' for Viborg, K. Ehibhatiomhan 47' for AC Horsens, A. Beck 55' for Viborg, I. Milicevic 71' for AC Horsens. On expected goals it finished 0.83–1.92.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.