AC Milan vs Venezia Serie A prediction & result
Final score: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% AC Milan, 19% draw, 19% Venezia — fair odds of 1.61, 5.26 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
AC Milan at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AC Milan vs Venezia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16M. MaignanG
- 34M. GilaD
- 5K. De WinterD
- 31S. PavlovicD
- 21S. ChukwuezeM
- 80Y. MusahM
- 14L. ModricM
- 33D. BartesaghiM
- 8R. Loftus-CheekF
- 70A. CisseF
- 9G. RamosF
- 1P. TerraccianoG
- 96L. TorrianiG
- 2P. EstupinanD
- 46M. GabbiaD
- 13S. DiawaraD
- 56A. SaelemaekersF
- 42F. TerraccianoD
- 22D. MoreiraF
- 12A. RabiotM
- 1F. StankovicG
- 3J. SchingtienneD
- 17A. Bella-KotchapD
- 4B. FranjicD
- 18A. HainautM
- 71K. PerezM
- 6G. BusioM
- 26T. BasicM
- 5R. HapsM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 45A. AdamsF
- 23M. GrandiG
- 96L. MontipoG
- 14T. CorreiaD
- 25R. HalhalD
- 20R. SagradoD
- 95A. GomesD
- 21T. J. HelgasonM
- 30M. DagassoM
- 19S. SohmM
Form going into AC Milan vs Venezia
AC Milan
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Torino23 August 2026
Venezia
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Lecce23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 24 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Milan vs Venezia
- 27 April 2025Venezia 0–2 AC MilanSerie A
- 14 September 2024AC Milan 4–0 VeneziaSerie A
- 9 January 2022Venezia 0–3 AC MilanSerie A
- 22 September 2021AC Milan 2–0 VeneziaSerie A
Leading scorers: AC Milan and Venezia
AC Milan
GoalsAssists
- A. Rabiot54
- A. Cissè50
- Diego Moreira43
Venezia
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AC Milan beat Venezia 2–0. The model had made a win for AC Milan its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Ramos 69' for AC Milan, R. Halhal (own goal) 89' for AC Milan. On expected goals it finished 2.13–0.82.