Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 2-3 Shandong Luneng.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Shanghai Shenhua, 25% draw, 22% Shandong Luneng — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shanghai Shenhua at 53% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
- W5-4away to Chengdu Better City22 August 2026
- L0-3Beijing Guoan18 August 2026
- W4-1Henan Jianye15 August 2026
Shandong Luneng
- L0-2away to Qingdao Youth Island22 August 2026
- W3-1Qingdao Jonoon14 August 2026
- W2-1Tianjin Teda9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 31 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
- Rafael Ratão15 goals1 assists
Shandong Luneng
- Cryzan16 goals6 assists
- Zeca9 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.