AC Horsens vs Lyngby Superliga prediction & result
Final score: AC Horsens 2-1 Lyngby.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% AC Horsens, 25% draw, 40% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.86, 4.00 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lyngby at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AC Horsens vs Lyngby
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Matej DelačG
- 26Victor PálssonD
- 35Mikkel KupijbidaD
- 24Ole KolskogenD
- 28Alagie SaineD
- 16Abdul MoroM
- 20Karlo LusavecM
- 27Yamirou OuorouM
- 14Julius MadsenM
- 10Kristian KirkegaardM
- 11Kelvin EhibhatiomhanF
- 17Adam HerdonssonM
- 18Julius KörkköF
- 19Jimi TauriainenM
- 15Adrian JustinussenF
- 7Ivan MiličevićD
- 31Anders HoffG
- 30Seniko DouaD
- 22John BatigiF
- 39Oscar MandrupF
- 31Diego KochenG
- 2Oskar BuurD
- 30Mikkel FischerD
- 24Munashe GaranangaD
- 25Renzo TytensD
- 19Gustav FrauloM
- 13Casper WintherM
- 18Jens Jakob ThomasenM
- 14Lauge SandgravM
- 10Ísak Snær ÞorvaldssonF
- 7Simon ColynF
- 6Daniel Freyr KristjanssonD
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 26Frederik GytkjærF
- 4Cornelius AllenD
- 16Asbjorn BøndergaardF
- 1Jonathan ÆgidiusG
- 12David AronssonD
- 8Mathias HeboM
- 20Mathias KaarsboM
Form going into AC Horsens vs Lyngby
AC Horsens
- W2-1away to Odense16 August 2026
Lyngby
- D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Horsens | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Lyngby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs Lyngby
- 23 August 2026AC Horsens 2–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 25 May 2026Lyngby 0–2 AC Horsens1. Division
- 4 April 2026AC Horsens 1–0 Lyngby1. Division
- 9 March 2026AC Horsens 1–3 Lyngby1. Division
- 23 August 2025Lyngby 0–0 AC Horsens1. Division
- 3 June 2023AC Horsens 0–0 LyngbySuperliga
Leading scorers: AC Horsens and Lyngby
AC Horsens
- K. Ehibhatiomhan4 goals
- Y. Ouorou2 goals1 assists
Lyngby
- Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
- S. Colyn3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.