FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 1-0 Randers FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% FC Midtjylland, 25% draw, 17% Randers FC — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Midtjylland at 58% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Elías ÓlafssonG
- 5Rasmus KristensenD
- 3Magnus JensenD
- 22Mads Bech SørensenD
- 11Darío OsorioM
- 8Philip BillingM
- 19Pedro BravoM
- 29Kjell WätjenM
- 27Sofus JohannesenM
- 18Stanley IheanachoF
- 10Gue-sung ChoF
- 21Denil CastilloM
- 20Valdemar ByskovM
- 90Friday EtimF
- 6Martin ErlićD
- 15Beni JuniorD
- 25Nordin BakkerG
- 13Adam GabrielD
- 7Franculino DjúF
- 38Julius EmefileM
- 32Jannich StorchG
- 24Sabil HansenD
- 3Daniel HøeghD
- 4Wessel DammersD
- 44Nikolas DyhrD
- 17Mathias GreveM
- 8Laurits PedersenM
- 7Mike ThemsenM
- 11Elies MahmoudM
- 15Martin SjølstadM
- 77Kasper JunkerF
- 1Paul IzzoG
- 30Mohamed SankohF
- 31Felix SommerD
- 33Cyril EdudziF
- 19Musa TouréF
- 5Oliver JonesD
- 26Hector HøyrupM
- 38Max AlbækM
- 9Amin Al-HamawiF
Form going into FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC
FC Midtjylland
- W2-0HNK Rijeka20 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lyngby16 August 2026
- W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026
- W2-1AC Horsens2 August 2026
Randers FC
- L0-4FC Copenhagen16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 | Randers FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC
- 23 August 2026FC Midtjylland 1–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 9 November 2025Randers FC 0–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 29 September 2025FC Midtjylland 2–1 Randers FCSuperliga
- 2 July 2025FC Midtjylland 2–3 Randers FCFriendlies Clubs
- 25 May 2025FC Midtjylland 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 4 April 2025Randers FC 2–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and Randers FC
FC Midtjylland
- F. Etim3 goals2 assists
- S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists
Randers FC
- M. Themsen3 goals1 assists
- E. Mahmoud2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.