AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: AC Oulu 2-3 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% AC Oulu, 22% draw, 18% Inter Turku — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AC Oulu at 60% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 13M. SantosG
- 16O. KemppainenD
- 3A. LietsaD
- 66J. PirinenD
- 22T. KaukuaM
- 21I. MendolinM
- 25M. ArsaloM
- 14N. JokelainenM
- 7R. KarjalainenM
- 18A. CassamaM
- 10C. TrianaF
- 99N. SchulzG
- 29S. SilanderD
- 5M. PitkanenD
- 2S. SipolaD
- 8M. OjalaM
- 6J. PaananenM
- 27E. KallioM
- 11L. GhezaliM
- 32A. Kone
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 26V. Huovila
- 21I. Kangasniemi
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 19I. JarvinenM
- 4P. AhiabuM
- 35E. KiiskilaM
- 23L. Essomba
- 34L. ProkopF
- 28L. LaineM
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 18S. SaarinenD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 3J. HamalainenD
- 14J. LaineM
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 9J. TuominenM
Form going into AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
AC Oulu
- L0-1HJK Helsinki9 August 2026
Inter Turku
- D2-2away to FC Vaduz13 August 2026
- D0-0Lahti9 August 2026
- W2-1FC Vaduz6 August 2026
- W2-0Başakşehir30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Başakşehir22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
- 16 August 2026AC Oulu 2–3 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 13 June 2026Inter Turku 0–0 AC OuluVeikkausliiga
- 21 March 2026Inter Turku 2–1 AC OuluLeague Cup
- 8 August 2025Inter Turku 3–2 AC OuluVeikkausliiga
- 26 April 2025AC Oulu 1–4 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 24 September 2024AC Oulu 1–0 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
Leading scorers: AC Oulu and Inter Turku
AC Oulu
- J. Körkkö2 goals2 assists
- E. Kallio2 goals
Inter Turku
- J. Yli-Kokko2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.