AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% AEK Larnaca, 25% draw, 14% Omonia Aradippou — fair odds of 1.64, 4.00 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
AEK Larnaca at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 11R. BajićF
- 92A. PaleariG
- 3M. van der HoornD
- 20J. RepasM
- 17K. PileasD
- 15H. MiličevićM
- 7Gus LedesM
- 14A. LayouniF
- 23S. KöhlerM
- 9Đ. IvanovićF
- 22G. EkpoloD
- 33N. AndereggenF
- 44Z. AdoniD
- 37David GerasimouM
- 2P. IoannouD
- 25C. KyriakouM
- 21MiramónD
- 28K. MrabtiM
- 29G. NaoumM
- 6I. PankovM
- 22M. AntoniouD
- 3A. ChristofiD
- 81V. De MarcoD
- 8A. El BouchataouiM
- 15Unai GarcíaD
- 6N. HavelkaM
- 7M. KoumourisF
- 23Bogdan PetrovicF
- 9G. PontikosF
- 14J. van MullemM
- 12Ž. ŽivkovićG
- 1Gabriel PereiraG
- 93G. Hadzigianni
- 37A. LoizouM
- 27S. LomónacoF
- 77C. MakossoF
- 91K. PanteliD
- 88G. PapacharalampousG
- 47andreas pappoulosF
- 38A. PlumainF
Form going into AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Beitar Jerusalem30 July 2026
- L0-1Beitar Jerusalem23 July 2026
Omonia Aradippou
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 20 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
- 8 August 2026AEK Larnaca 0–1 Omonia AradippouFriendlies Clubs
- 22 February 2026Omonia Aradippou 2–1 AEK Larnaca1. Division
- 9 November 2025AEK Larnaca 1–0 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
- 9 March 2025Omonia Aradippou 2–0 AEK Larnaca1. Division
- 6 December 2024AEK Larnaca 1–0 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
Leading scorers: AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
GoalsAssists
- Đ. Ivanović21
Omonia Aradippou
No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AEK Larnaca beat Omonia Aradippou 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for AEK Larnaca at 61%. The goal: Nicolas Andereggen 89' for AEK Larnaca.
How the call on AEK Larnaca v Omonia Aradippou has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 54% / 28% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 61% / 25% / 14%: the biggest move is AEK Larnaca's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- AEK Larnaca win61%▲ +7
- Draw25%▼ −3
- Omonia Aradippou win14%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.