Anorthosis vs Pafos 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Anorthosis 1-3 Pafos.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Anorthosis, 30% draw, 43% Pafos — fair odds of 3.70, 3.33 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Pafos at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 20C. AboagyeM
- 44N. TošićD
- 22K. SergiouD
- 28J. KarlstrømG
- 4K. ArtymatasM
- 88A. ChrysostomouM
- 9Alessio Da CruzM
- 45Gabriel FurtadoD
- 5KikoM
- 7T. KissF
- 36Stijn MiddendorpM
- 57E. Charalambous
- 18stephanos charalambousM
- 11B. DioneF
- 70M. IliaF
- 47A. KaramanolisD
- 58K. LytrasD
- 54C. MichallasM
- 1K. PanayiG
- 51S. PanagiG
- 99R. MajeckiG
- 20BielF
- 4David LuizD
- 30V. DragomirM
- 14N. IoannouD
- 18LelêF
- 3S. MmaeeD
- 88Pêpê RodriguesM
- 8Domingos QuinaM
- 26I. ŠunjićM
- 2Yoram\t ZagueD
- 12K. SemaM
- 82P. PetrouG
- 17afonso patraoF
- 71M. PapastylianouG
- 23Jonatás NoroD
- 6GugaM
- 77João CorreiaD
- 50Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho BritoM
- 33Anderson SilvaF
Form going into Anorthosis vs Pafos
Anorthosis
No earlier matches on record this season.
Pafos
All competitions we cover
- W4-2Dinamo Tirana27 August 2026
- D1-1away to Dinamo Tirana20 August 2026
- D3-3Red Bull Salzburg13 August 2026
- L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg6 August 2026
- W2-0HNK Hajduk Split30 July 2026
What these results say
- Pafos scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pafos conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Anorthosis vs Pafos
- 21 February 2026Pafos 0–0 Anorthosis1. Division
- 9 November 2025Anorthosis 1–1 Pafos1. Division
- 2 January 2025Anorthosis 0–2 Pafos1. Division
- 14 September 2024Pafos 3–1 Anorthosis1. Division
- 21 April 2024Pafos 5–1 Anorthosis1. Division
Leading scorers: Anorthosis and Pafos
Anorthosis
No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Pafos
GoalsAssists
- Lelê20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pafos won 3–1 at Anorthosis. The model had made a win for Pafos its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Alessio Da Cruz 42' for Anorthosis, Yoram Zague 46' for Pafos, Leanderson da Silva Genésio 48' for Pafos, Leanderson da Silva Genésio 57' for Pafos.
How the call on Anorthosis v Pafos has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 28% / 31% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 27% / 30% / 43%: the biggest move is Pafos's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Anorthosis win27%▼ −1
- Draw30%▼ −1
- Pafos win43%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.