Coventry vs Brighton Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Coventry 0-5 Brighton.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Coventry, 31% draw, 35% Brighton — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Brighton at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Coventry vs Brighton
Line-ups
- 19C. RushworthG
- 24A. AmendaD
- 4B. ThomasD
- 2E. PinnockD
- 27M. van EwijkM
- 16F. OnyekaM
- 6M. GrimesM
- 3J. DasilvaM
- 5J. RudoniM
- 10E. Mason-ClarkM
- 14T. AwoniyiF
- 49S. CherifF
- 23B. Thomas-AsanteF
- 38G. HamerM
- 25D. BentleyG
- 12S. MfuniD
- 7T. SakamotoM
- 8Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM
- 17L. TchaounaF
- 29V. TorpM
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 24F. KadıoğluD
- 44L. VuškovićD
- 5L. DunkD
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 13P. GroßM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 25D. GómezM
- 35M. YalcouyéM
- 29M. De CuyperM
- 19C. KostoulasF
- 3J. HadjamD
- 4P. StruijkD
- 20CostinhaD
- 14José María Andrés BaixauliM
- 15I. OsmanF
- 33M. O'RileyM
- 23J. SteeleG
- 12P. DavidF
- 59Y. IbrahimM
Form going into Coventry vs Brighton
Coventry
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Manchester City5 September 2026
- L0-1Hull City29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Arsenal21 August 2026
Brighton
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Leeds5 September 2026
- L3-4away to Chelsea30 August 2026
- W4-0Tromso27 August 2026
- W4-0Aston Villa23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Tromso20 August 2026
What these results say
- Brighton scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | +19 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Coventry vs Brighton
- 17 February 2018Brighton 3–1 CoventryFA Cup
- 31 December 2011Coventry 2–0 BrightonChampionship
- 26 November 2011Brighton 2–1 CoventryChampionship
Leading scorers: Coventry and Brighton
Coventry
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Brighton
GoalsAssists
- P. Groß44
- C. Kostoulas32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brighton won 5–0 at Coventry. The model had made a win for Brighton its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Charalampos Kostoulas 35' for Brighton, Malick Yalcouyé 51' for Brighton, Pascal Groß (penalty) 70' for Brighton, Lewis Dunk 83' for Brighton, Yasin Ayari 90+4' for Brighton. Sent off: Taiwo Awoniyi (Coventry) 53'.
How the call on Coventry v Brighton has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 34% / 31% / 35%: the biggest move is Coventry's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Coventry win34%▼ −4
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Brighton win35%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.