13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Coventry vs Brighton Premier League prediction & result

Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Full time0 – 5

Final score: Coventry 0-5 Brighton.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Coventry, 31% draw, 35% Brighton — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Brighton at 35% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Coventry0%Draw1%Brighton99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
⚽Charalampos Kostoulasassist: Pascal Groß
51'
⚽Malick Yalcouyéassist: Maxim De Cuyper
Taiwo Awoniyi
53'
🔁Ephron Mason-Clarkout: Sidiki Cherif
60'
65'
🔁Malick Yalcouyéout: Chema Andrés
70'
⚽Pascal Groß (pen)
🔁Jack Rudoniout: Brandon Thomas-Asante
73'
🔁Frank Onyekaout: Caleb Yirenkyi
73'
78'
🔁Olivier Boscagliout: Ibrahim Osman
78'
🔁Luka Vuskovicout: Pascal Struijk
83'
⚽Lewis Dunkassist: Chema Andrés
🔁Matt Grimesout: Victor Torp
84'
84'
🔁Charalampos Kostoulasout: Matt O'Riley
84'
🔁Diego Gomezout: Costinha
90+4'
⚽Yasin Ayariassist: Pascal Groß

Match stats — Coventry vs Brighton

31%Possession69%
14Shots22
6On target7
5Corners3

Line-ups

Coventry 3-4-2-1
  • 19C. RushworthG
  • 24A. AmendaD
  • 4B. ThomasD
  • 2E. PinnockD
  • 27M. van EwijkM
  • 16F. OnyekaM
  • 6M. GrimesM
  • 3J. DasilvaM
  • 5J. RudoniM
  • 10E. Mason-ClarkM
  • 14T. AwoniyiF
Substitutes
  • 49S. CherifF
  • 23B. Thomas-AsanteF
  • 38G. HamerM
  • 25D. BentleyG
  • 12S. MfuniD
  • 7T. SakamotoM
  • 8Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM
  • 17L. TchaounaF
  • 29V. TorpM
Coach: F. Lampard
Brighton 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. VerbruggenG
  • 24F. KadıoğluD
  • 44L. VuškovićD
  • 5L. DunkD
  • 21O. BoscagliD
  • 13P. GroßM
  • 26Y. AyariM
  • 25D. GómezM
  • 35M. YalcouyéM
  • 29M. De CuyperM
  • 19C. KostoulasF
Substitutes
  • 3J. HadjamD
  • 4P. StruijkD
  • 20CostinhaD
  • 14José María Andrés BaixauliM
  • 15I. OsmanF
  • 33M. O'RileyM
  • 23J. SteeleG
  • 12P. DavidF
  • 59Y. IbrahimM
Coach: F. Hürzeler

Form going into Coventry vs Brighton

Coventry

  • L0-1away to Manchester City5 September 2026
  • L0-1Hull City29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Arsenal21 August 2026

Brighton

  • D1-1Leeds5 September 2026
  • L3-4away to Chelsea30 August 2026
  • W4-0Aston Villa23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Coventry4004010-100
5Brighton4211135+87

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Coventry vs Brighton

  • 13 September 2026Coventry 0–5 BrightonPremier League
  • 17 February 2018Brighton 3–1 CoventryFA Cup
  • 31 December 2011Coventry 2–0 BrightonChampionship
  • 26 November 2011Brighton 2–1 CoventryChampionship

Leading scorers: Coventry and Brighton

Coventry

No league goals yet this season.

Brighton

  • M. Yalcouyé2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.