Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ittihad 2-1 Al-Nassr.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Al-Ittihad, 28% draw, 31% Al-Nassr — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Ittihad at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. RajkovicG
- 32A. Al JulaydanD
- 2D. PereiraD
- 15H. KadeshD
- 25F. AbdiD
- 30D. LopyM
- 8M. AliM
- 27A. Al GhamdiM
- 10H. AouarM
- 34S. BergwijnM
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 50M. Al AbsiG
- 42M. FagihyD
- 13M. Al ShanqitiD
- 66M. BarnawiD
- 60R. KaabiM
- 5R. RiosM
- 11S. Al ShehriF
- 21Y. En NesyriF
- 22M. Al SahafiF
- 1N. Al AqidiG
- 12N. BoushalD
- 3M. SimakanD
- 5A. Al AmriD
- 83S. Al NajdiD
- 21K. ComanM
- 20AngeloM
- 11Samu CostaM
- 10S. ManeM
- 79Joao FelixF
- 7C. RonaldoF
- 24BentoG
- 4N. Al SharariD
- 6S. Al NasserD
- 70A. AmanD
- 23A. YahyaM
- 17A. Al KhaibariM
- 14S. Al NajeiM
- 9A. Al HamdanF
- 60S. HaqawiF
Form going into Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Al-Fateh29 August 2026
Al-Nassr
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ittihad | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | +17 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad and Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad
GoalsAssists
- Y. En-Nesyri70
- G. Ilenikhena63
- S. Bergwijn51
Al-Nassr
GoalsAssists
- Cristiano Ronaldo80
- Ângelo53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ittihad beat Al-Nassr 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al-Ittihad at 41%. The goals: G. Ilenikhena 4' for Al-Ittihad, G. Ilenikhena 22' for Al-Ittihad, Angelo 36' for Al-Nassr. On expected goals it finished 1.84–1.65.