Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Seattle Sounders, 28% draw, 33% New York Red Bulls — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Seattle Sounders at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls
Seattle Sounders
- D2-2Chicago Fire29 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Cincinnati22 August 2026
- L1-2Austin20 August 2026
New York Red Bulls
- L1-3Philadelphia Union29 August 2026
- D1-1Chicago Fire22 August 2026
- L0-1Nashville SC19 August 2026
- L1-2away to Atlanta United FC15 August 2026
- W3-2Orlando City SC1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.