Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Riyadh 2-0 Al Kholood.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al Riyadh, 28% draw, 37% Al Kholood — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Kholood at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 82M. BorjanG
- 79F. Al JayzaniD
- 67M. Al KhaibariD
- 26R. AbascalD
- 12S. HazaziD
- 22V. LekhalM
- 6K. KeitaM
- 10T. OkouM
- 19H. Al ShurafaM
- 14H. A. Bahri E.M
- 11H. Al Ali
- 97E. FidaG
- 23H. QasimD
- 5H. MajrashiD
- 13O. Al BoardiD
- 3Y. Al MusaD
- 17H. Al RaqwaniF
- 20B. Al-Harthi
- 29S. MatarM
- 24A. Al TaleM
- 1A. M. Yousef H.G
- 15R. SolanD
- 5E. UtkusD
- 25M. CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
- 8S. CisseM
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 70M. SawanM
- 10I. KortajarenaM
- 11C. da CostaM
- 22J. DominguesF
- 30M. Al ShammariG
- 7S. Al ShehriD
- 47A. Al ObaidD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 67M. Al Rashidi
- 39A. Al DawsariM
- 52R. JamanM
- 26Y. Al ZubaidiF
- 27A. Al AjianF
Form going into Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
Al Riyadh
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Al Khaleej Saihat7 September 2026
- L0-5away to Al-Ahli Jeddah4 September 2026
Al Kholood
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Al Shabab9 September 2026
- D2-2away to Al-Fayha3 September 2026
- W3-1Al-Ahli Jeddah29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Riyadh and Al Kholood
Al Riyadh
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Al Kholood
GoalsAssists
- J. Domingues63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Riyadh beat Al Kholood 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Kholood at 37% and given a win for Al Riyadh 35%. The goals: K. Keita 66' for Al Riyadh, R. Abascal 89' for Al Riyadh. On expected goals it finished 1.06–0.69.
How the call on Al Riyadh v Al Kholood has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 35% / 30% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 35% / 28% / 37%: the biggest move is Al Kholood's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Al Riyadh win35%=
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Al Kholood win37%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.