Al Shabab vs Al-Fayha Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Shabab 0-0 Al-Fayha.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Al Shabab, 28% draw, 28% Al-Fayha — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Shabab at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Shabab vs Al-Fayha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. DiawG
- 17M. Al ThaniD
- 3M. T. BarryD
- 4T. JedvajD
- 21D. Al AnaziD
- 24A. Al OboudM
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 29Y. AdliM
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 9R. B. Martinez TobinsonF
- 49Ricardo MathiasF
- 23A. Al AwardiG
- 27A. Al Hawsawi
- 2M. Al ShwirekhD
- 12S. Al Anzi
- 40A. Al AsmariM
- 6A. Al NashriM
- 22H. Al HammamiF
- 97M. KhadhariF
- 37A. Matuq
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 22M. Al BaqawiD
- 2M. Al RashidiD
- 25O. ColleyD
- 24A. BamsaudD
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 23Jason RemeseiroM
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 14M. Al BesheM
- 10F. SakalaM
- 17LazaroF
- 1A. Al DuqaylG
- 12T. Al JaadiD
- 21Z. Al SahafiD
- 29A. Al Baraa
- 40Yago SouzaM
- 43F. AlhubayshiM
- 27S. Al JarbiF
- 9M. Al AbdulmanamF
- 77R. Enad
Form going into Al Shabab vs Al-Fayha
Al Shabab
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Al Kholood9 September 2026
- L0-2Al-Hilal4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Hazm30 August 2026
Al-Fayha
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Al-Ittihad8 September 2026
- D2-2Al Kholood3 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 14 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Shabab and Al-Fayha
Al Shabab
GoalsAssists
- Y. Carrasco61
Al-Fayha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Shabab and Al-Fayha drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Shabab at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.09–0.54.
How the call on Al Shabab v Al-Fayha has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Al Shabab's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Al Shabab win44%▼ −3
- Draw28%=
- Al-Fayha win28%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.