NEOM vs Al-Fateh Pro League prediction & result
Final score: NEOM 4-2 Al-Fateh.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% NEOM, 27% draw, 24% Al-Fateh — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts NEOM at 49% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into NEOM vs Al-Fateh
NEOM
- W2-0away to Al-Hilal7 September 2026
- W3-0Al Khaleej Saihat3 September 2026
- L0-1away to Al Riyadh28 August 2026
- L0-2Al-Qadisiyah FC24 August 2026
Al-Fateh
- L1-2Al Diriyah9 September 2026
- D0-0away to Al Taawon5 September 2026
- D0-0Al-Ittihad29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Faisaly FC26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 15 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: NEOM and Al-Fateh
NEOM
- A. Lacazette5 goals1 assists
- A. Koné4 goals1 assists
Al-Fateh
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.