Mantova vs Sampdoria Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Mantova 2-0 Sampdoria.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Mantova, 29% draw, 29% Sampdoria — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Mantova at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mantova vs Sampdoria
Line-ups
- 22F. BardiG
- 5B. TomaševićD
- 29S. CellaD
- 27A. CastelliniD
- 41Jonathan SilvaM
- 25L. IgnacchitiM
- 80R. KoudaM
- 50F. Benaissa-YahiaM
- 8R. IlieM
- 19F. RuoccoM
- 9E. GliozziF
- 71Federico ChinettiF
- 1L. GemelloG
- 30D. BragantiniF
- 75E. KošpoD
- 58Tommaso Del LungoD
- 11I. CajazzoM
- 18S. KeitaM
- 20F. PaolettiM
- 10D. WieserM
- 1P. VindahlG
- 29A. Di PardoD
- 3S. GartenmannD
- 15F. Delli CarriD
- 7M. CicconiD
- 6L. HendersonM
- 45A. MakoumbouM
- 11T. BegićM
- 16Y. VerschaerenM
- 10L. InsigneM
- 99G. TutinoF
- 14Yann KaramohF
- 9T. LauritsenF
- 43K. MbabuD
- 25A. FerrariD
- 13L. RavanelliD
- 28O. AbildgaardM
- 12Andrey KrastevG
- 96S. MassoloG
- 20D. SinaniF
Form going into Mantova vs Sampdoria
Mantova
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Cesena6 September 2026
- W3-1Empoli30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Carrarese22 August 2026
Sampdoria
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Palermo7 September 2026
- L1-2Juve Stabia29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Cesena23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mantova vs Sampdoria
- 21 February 2026Mantova 2–1 SampdoriaSerie B
- 2 November 2025Sampdoria 0–1 MantovaSerie B
- 25 January 2025Mantova 2–2 SampdoriaSerie B
- 27 October 2024Sampdoria 1–0 MantovaSerie B
Leading scorers: Mantova and Sampdoria
Mantova
GoalsAssists
- F. Ruocco50
Sampdoria
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mantova beat Sampdoria 2–0. The model had made a win for Mantova its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Francesco Ruocco 58' for Mantova, Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo 66' for Mantova.