Al Taawon vs Al-Hilal Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Taawon 0-6 Al-Hilal.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al Taawon, 28% draw, 37% Al-Hilal — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Hilal at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Taawon vs Al-Hilal
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1MailsonG
- 6B. Al HurayjiD
- 40I. MahnashiD
- 93A. Al SaluliD
- 5Z. BelaidD
- 88M. PetkovD
- 7M. Al KuwaykibiM
- 19O. DorleyM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 47Y. El BahraouiF
- 30A. Al JadaniG
- 4N. Al HaleelD
- 43N. Al HawairyD
- 10N. BajramiM
- 23R. Al TulayhiM
- 16F. Al GhamdiM
- 70A. Hendi
- 14S. RajabF
- 17S. M. Al Aqel M.F
- 37BonoG
- 2M. MahzariD
- 87H. TambaktiD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 24M. Al HarbiD
- 22S. Milinkovic-SavicM
- 8R. NevesM
- 28M. KannoM
- 7G. MartinelliF
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 38C. SummervilleF
- 33M. Al OwaisG
- 4Y. AkcicekD
- 73M. Al SarnoukhD
- 6N. Al DawsariM
- 77N. Al HabashiM
- 96S. Al ZaidM
- 18M. Al HawsawiM
- 93A. Al AnaziM
- 27S. MandashF
Form going into Al Taawon vs Al-Hilal
Al Taawon
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Al-Hazm8 September 2026
- D0-0Al-Fateh5 September 2026
Al-Hilal
All competitions we cover
- L0-2NEOM7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al Shabab4 September 2026
- W3-0Al-Ahli Jeddah1 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
| 1 | Al-Hilal | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Taawon and Al-Hilal
Al Taawon
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Al-Hilal
GoalsAssists
- Gabriel Martinelli60
- O. Watkins55
- Rúben Neves53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Hilal won 6–0 at Al Taawon. The model had made a win for Al-Hilal its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: O. Watkins 9' for Al-Hilal, G. Martinelli 18' for Al-Hilal, G. Martinelli 43' for Al-Hilal, G. Martinelli 50' for Al-Hilal, O. Watkins 53' for Al-Hilal, S. Mandash 75' for Al-Hilal. On expected goals it finished 1.32–5.41.
How the call on Al Taawon v Al-Hilal has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 32% / 27% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 35% / 28% / 37%: the biggest move is Al-Hilal's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Al Taawon win35%▲ +3
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Al-Hilal win37%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.