Sudtirol vs Catanzaro Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Sudtirol 2-0 Catanzaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Sudtirol, 29% draw, 30% Catanzaro — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sudtirol at 41% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
Sudtirol
- D1-1away to Benevento30 August 2026
- W1-0Virtus Entella22 August 2026
Catanzaro
- L1-2away to Pisa30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Vicenza Virtus21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 17 | Catanzaro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
- 15 August 2026Catanzaro 2–2 SudtirolCoppa Italia
- 31 January 2026Sudtirol 2–1 CatanzaroSerie B
- 24 August 2025Catanzaro 1–1 SudtirolSerie B
- 12 January 2025Sudtirol 1–1 CatanzaroSerie B
- 27 October 2024Catanzaro 3–0 SudtirolSerie B
- 17 February 2024Catanzaro 2–2 SudtirolSerie B
Leading scorers: Sudtirol and Catanzaro
Sudtirol
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Catanzaro
- P. Iemmello2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.