22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Albacete vs Real Sociedad II Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
Full time1 2

Final score: Albacete 1-2 Real Sociedad II.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Albacete, 23% draw, 18% Real Sociedad II — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Albacete at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Albacete vs Real Sociedad II

Albacete

  • L1-2away to Las Palmas16 August 2026

Real Sociedad II

  • L0-1Castellón14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
21Albacete501438-51
9Real Sociedad II522186+28

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Albacete vs Real Sociedad II

  • 24 May 2026Albacete 3–1 Real Sociedad IISegunda División
  • 10 January 2026Real Sociedad II 0–0 AlbaceteSegunda División

Leading scorers: Albacete and Real Sociedad II

Albacete

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Real Sociedad II

  • Gorka Gorosabel2 goals1 assists
  • Dani Díaz1 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.