21 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Cordoba vs Girona Segunda División prediction & result

Cordoba
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Cordoba 2-1 Girona.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Cordoba, 18% draw, 28% Girona — fair odds of 1.85, 5.56 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Cordoba at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cordoba94%Draw6%Girona0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Sanchezassist: D. Bri
12'
⚽D. Bri
37'
46'
🔁I. Gonzalezout: D. Camara
🔁V. Sanchezout: Percan
53'
Eder Garcia
54'
Egoitz Muñoz
62'
63'
🔁I. Moranteout: L. Kourouma
63'
🔁A. Ruizout: Y. Asprilla
🔁E. Garciaout: D. Caceres
65'
🔁D. Briout: K. Medina
65'
67'
Min-su Kim
Damián Cáceres
72'
🔁Alex Martinout: J. Gutierrez
74'
🔁C. Carracedoout: E. Rodriguez
74'
76'
🔁B. Gilout: D. van de Beek
76'
🔁M. Kimout: C. Stuani
Enol Rodríguez
83'
85'
⚽Y. Asprillaassist: A. Martinez
88'
Dawda Camara
88'
Álex Moreno
90+3'
Lass Kourouma
90+2'
Cristhian Stuani

Match stats — Cordoba vs Girona

45%Possession55%
11Shots10
3On target3
2Corners3

Line-ups

Cordoba 4-3-3
  • 1I. AlvarezG
  • 27E. Munoz
  • 4Alex MartinD
  • 16R. AlvesD
  • 3D. TasendeD
  • 22Y. DiarraM
  • 8I. RuizM
  • 28E. GarciaM
  • 23C. CarracedoF
  • 15V. SanchezF
  • 11D. BriF
Substitutes
  • 13Guilherme FernandesG
  • 5J. GutierrezD
  • 30D. BudescaD
  • 21C. AlbarranD
  • 32Alex Lopez
  • 7T. ZidaneM
  • 6D. CaceresM
  • 18E. RodriguezF
  • 9PercanF
Coach: Ivan Ania
Girona 4-3-3
  • 13P. GazzanigaG
  • 4A. MartinezD
  • 16A. FrancesD
  • 38H. Zamorano
  • 11A. MorenoD
  • 14I. MoranteM
  • 8F. BeltranM
  • 24I. GonzalezM
  • 17B. GilF
  • 9A. RuizF
  • 20M. KimF
Substitutes
  • 25V. KrapyvtsovG
  • 1S. PuigG
  • 28G. JordanaD
  • 39G. BadiaD
  • 35A. YaakobishviliD
  • 6D. van de BeekM
  • 29L. KouroumaM
  • 22Y. AsprillaM
  • 7C. StuaniF
Coach: Quique Alvarez

Form going into Cordoba vs Girona

Cordoba

  • L2-3away to Burgos16 August 2026

Girona

  • D1-1Leganes16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Cordoba5104712-53
13Girona5212107+37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cordoba vs Girona

  • 10 June 2017Cordoba 2–1 GironaSegunda División
  • 15 January 2017Girona 2–0 CordobaSegunda División

Leading scorers: Cordoba and Girona

Cordoba

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Girona

  • Y. Asprilla4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.