AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: AD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las Palmas.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% AD Ceuta FC, 20% draw, 28% Las Palmas — fair odds of 1.92, 5.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AD Ceuta FC at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
- L1-5away to FC Andorra15 August 2026
Las Palmas
- W2-1Albacete16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 0 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas
- 8 March 2026Las Palmas 4–0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
- 14 December 2025AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Las PalmasSegunda División
Leading scorers: AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Las Palmas
- T. Miyashiro2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.