22 August 2026, 19:30 UTC

Eldense vs Cadiz Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Full time2 2

Final score: Eldense 2-2 Cadiz.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Eldense, 24% draw, 58% Cadiz — fair odds of 5.56, 4.17 and 1.72. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Cadiz at 58% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Eldense vs Cadiz

Eldense

  • L0-3away to Almeria17 August 2026

Cadiz

  • D0-0Celta de Vigo II15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Eldense512236-35
19Cadiz503257-23

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eldense vs Cadiz

  • 18 January 2025Eldense 1–4 CadizSegunda División
  • 4 December 2024Cadiz 0–1 EldenseCopa del Rey
  • 28 September 2024Cadiz 1–2 EldenseSegunda División
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.