Anderlecht vs Genk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Anderlecht 0-0 Genk.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Anderlecht, 30% draw, 31% Genk — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Anderlecht at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Anderlecht vs Genk
Line-ups
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 27L. PétrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 30I. KoutsoupiasM
- 55M. KanaM
- 11O. AntmanM
- 21T. BentayebF
- 14D. SikanF
- 33M. SeghersG
- 49Jayden Onia SekeF
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 10M. WinklerF
- 12A. OmobamideleD
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 50K. BarryD
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 28L. Kiaba MoungangaG
- 20K. AmaroD
- 6M. SmetsD
- 44J. KongoloD
- 18J. KayembeD
- 21I. BangouraM
- 8B. HeynenM
- 10J. ItoM
- 11J. ErenbjergM
- 30A. YokoyamaM
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 32Noah Adedeji-SternbergF
- 33J. AfriyieF
- 38D. HeymansM
- 23A. BiboutF
- 1T. LeysenG
- 4B. TahirovićM
- 25M. RoganovićD
- 5C. RavychD
- 19Y. MedinaD
Form going into Anderlecht vs Genk
Anderlecht
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
- L0-3away to Union St. Gilloise30 August 2026
- W3-0Kairat Almaty27 August 2026
- W3-0away to Kairat Almaty20 August 2026
- L0-1away to SK Beveren16 August 2026
Genk
All competitions we cover
- W4-0SK Beveren28 August 2026
- D4-4away to Antwerp22 August 2026
- W3-2KVC Westerlo15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Zulte Waregem9 August 2026
What these results say
- Genk scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Genk had three goals or more.
- Genk conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Genk
- 8 February 2026Genk 2–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 4 December 2025Genk 1–3 AnderlechtCup
- 14 September 2025Anderlecht 1–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 25 May 2025Genk 2–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2025Anderlecht 1–2 GenkJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and Genk
Anderlecht
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Genk
GoalsAssists
- R. Durosinmi60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Anderlecht and Genk drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Anderlecht at 39% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Anderlecht v Genk has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 30% / 31%: the biggest move is Genk's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Anderlecht win39%▲ +1
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Genk win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.