Anderlecht vs Genk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Anderlecht 0-0 Genk.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Anderlecht, 30% draw, 31% Genk — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Anderlecht at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Anderlecht vs Genk
Line-ups
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 27L. PétrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 30I. KoutsoupiasM
- 55M. KanaM
- 11O. AntmanM
- 21T. BentayebF
- 14D. SikanF
- 33M. SeghersG
- 49Jayden Onia SekeF
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 10M. WinklerF
- 12A. OmobamideleD
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 50K. BarryD
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 28L. Kiaba MoungangaG
- 20K. AmaroD
- 6M. SmetsD
- 44J. KongoloD
- 18J. KayembeD
- 21I. BangouraM
- 8B. HeynenM
- 10J. ItoM
- 11J. ErenbjergM
- 30A. YokoyamaM
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 32Noah Adedeji-SternbergF
- 33J. AfriyieF
- 38D. HeymansM
- 23A. BiboutF
- 1T. LeysenG
- 4B. TahirovićM
- 25M. RoganovićD
- 5C. RavychD
- 19Y. MedinaD
Form going into Anderlecht vs Genk
Anderlecht
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
- L0-3away to Union St. Gilloise30 August 2026
- L0-1away to SK Beveren16 August 2026
Genk
- W4-0SK Beveren28 August 2026
- D4-4away to Antwerp22 August 2026
- W3-2KVC Westerlo15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Genk | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Genk
- 6 September 2026Anderlecht 0–0 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 8 February 2026Genk 2–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 4 December 2025Genk 1–3 AnderlechtCup
- 14 September 2025Anderlecht 1–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 25 May 2025Genk 2–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2025Anderlecht 1–2 GenkJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and Genk
Anderlecht
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Genk
- R. Durosinmi5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.