6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FK Jablonec 1-2 Slovan Liberec.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% FK Jablonec, 29% draw, 34% Slovan Liberec — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Jablonec at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Jablonec0%Draw5%Slovan Liberec95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
Aziz Kayondo
35'
Lukáš Mašek
Lamin Jawo
45+2'
46'
🔁J. Kozeluhout: P. Dulay
46'
🔁P. Hodousout: M. Lexa
50'
⚽P. Dulayassist: J. Mikula
🔁J. Suchanout: F. Zorvan
61'
🔁J. Slamaout: J. Chramosta
61'
62'
Lukáš Masopust
67'
Milan Lexa
⚽S. Alioum
70'
71'
🔁L. Masekout: A. Buzek
71'
🔁L. Masopustout: V. Stransky
🔁S. Nebylaout: N. Okeke
75'
🔁S. Alioumout: D. Holly
76'
80'
⚽V. Kusej
🔁R. Sedlacekout: F. Vecheta
84'
87'
🔁V. Kusejout: P. Julis
Nemanja Tekijaški
88'

Match stats — FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec

65%Possession35%
26Shots6
7On target3
4Corners2
2.47xG0.32

Goals against chances

FK Jablonec1 from 2.47 xGless than the chances were worth
Slovan Liberec2 from 0.32 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Jablonec 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. HanusG
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 4N. TekijaskiD
  • 15D. PavlovicD
  • 7V. ChanturishviliM
  • 13R. SedlacekM
  • 25S. NebylaM
  • 20J. SlamaM
  • 10J. SuchanF
  • 17S. AlioumF
  • 44L. JawoF
Substitutes
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 57F. NovakD
  • 14D. SoucekD
  • 8F. ZorvanM
  • 24D. HollyM
  • 21M. PolidarM
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 16H. AhlM
  • 19J. ChramostaF
Coach: Lubos Kozel
Slovan Liberec 3-4-2-1
  • 40T. KoubekG
  • 29L. HulkaD
  • 14A. DrakpeD
  • 3J. MikulaD
  • 18J. KozeluhM
  • 8L. MasopustM
  • 60F. FayeM
  • 27A. KayondoM
  • 19V. KusejF
  • 5P. HodousF
  • 9L. MasekF
Substitutes
  • 33L. PeslG
  • 47J. Musil
  • 16A. BuzekM
  • 24P. DulayM
  • 7A. SoliuM
  • 10Q. ZybaM
  • 12V. StranskyM
  • 15M. LexaM
  • 94V. BaboulaF
Coach: Branislav Fodrek

Form going into FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec

FK Jablonec

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Bohemians 19052 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Teplice30 August 2026
  • W1-0Rangers27 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Rangers20 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Rīgas FS13 August 2026

Slovan Liberec

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Hradec Králové30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zlin22 August 2026
  • D1-1Slavia Praha16 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zbrojovka Brno7 August 2026
  • L0-1Teplice1 August 2026

What these results say

  • FK Jablonec conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FK Jablonec had two goals or fewer.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Slovan Liberec had two goals or fewer.
  • Slovan Liberec scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FK Jablonec146351618-221
2Slovan Liberec13823168+826

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec

  • 24 May 2026FK Jablonec 2–1 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 25 April 2026FK Jablonec 1–2 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 25 October 2025Slovan Liberec 0–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 8 March 2025FK Jablonec 0–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 5 October 2024Slovan Liberec 0–5 FK JablonecCzech Liga

Leading scorers: FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec

FK Jablonec

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Slovan Liberec

GoalsAssists

  • L. Mašek40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovan Liberec won 2–1 at FK Jablonec. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Jablonec at 37% and given a win for Slovan Liberec 34%. The goals: P. Dulay 50' for Slovan Liberec, S. Alioum 70' for FK Jablonec, V. Kusej 80' for Slovan Liberec. On expected goals it finished 2.47–0.32.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.