6 September 2026, 17:15 UTC

SK Beveren vs OH Leuven Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
Full time3 – 0

Final score: SK Beveren 3-0 OH Leuven.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% SK Beveren, 30% draw, 32% OH Leuven — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SK Beveren at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SK Beveren99%Draw1%OH Leuven0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Bruno Godeau
31'
56'
🔁T. Ogiwaraout: A. K. Traore
🔁L. Mertensout: E. Kabore
60'
Jearl Margaritha
62'
68'
Jamie Lawrence
⚽C. Lokesaassist: J. Margaritha
69'
72'
🔁O. Gilout: D. Opoku
72'
🔁S. Yamadaout: W. Balikwisha
72'
🔁C. Ikwuemesiout: R. Mirisola
🔁C. Janssensout: D. Thompson
78'
🔁C. Lokesaout: A. Verschueren
78'
79'
Birger Verstraete
⚽J. Margarithaassist: A. Verschueren
85'
87'
🔁W. Georgeout: K. Vaesen
🔁C. Brulsout: F. Slegers
89'
🔁J. Margarithaout: K. Abrahams
89'
⚽E. Kaboreassist: D. Thompson
90'

Match stats — SK Beveren vs OH Leuven

48%Possession52%
13Shots14
7On target4
7Corners5
2.68xG0.88

Goals against chances

SK Beveren3 from 2.68 xGabout what the chances were worth
OH Leuven0 from 0.88 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SK Beveren 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. SchenkG
  • 21L. JansD
  • 35Y. GomisD
  • 31B. GodeauD
  • 4C. JanssensD
  • 18S. DewaeleM
  • 44C. CondeM
  • 5C. LokesaM
  • 22C. BrulsM
  • 17J. MargarithaM
  • 92L. MertensF
Substitutes
  • 84J. LusambaG
  • 2D. ThompsonD
  • 48J. RobatschD
  • 14L. KuavitaM
  • 24A. VerschuerenM
  • 10G. De SchryverM
  • 8F. SlegersM
  • 34K. AbrahamsF
  • 9E. KaboreF
Coach: Tim Bakens
OH Leuven 3-1-4-2
  • 1D. van den HeuvelG
  • 5J. LawrenceD
  • 3N. DussenneD
  • 28E. PletinckxD
  • 4B. VerstraeteM
  • 27O. GilM
  • 6W. George
  • 8S. SchrijversM
  • 26T. OgiwaraM
  • 20S. YamadaF
  • 19C. IkwuemesiF
Substitutes
  • 61O. JochmansG
  • 34R. NyakossiD
  • 30A. FontanarosaD
  • 99D. OpokuD
  • 48B. KayoM
  • 24L. LakomyM
  • 21W. BalikwishaF
  • 18R. MirisolaF
  • 17K. VaesenF
Coach: Timmy Simons

Form going into SK Beveren vs OH Leuven

SK Beveren

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
  • W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Antwerp9 August 2026

OH Leuven

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Gent3 September 2026
  • L1-2Standard Liege29 August 2026
  • L0-3Club Brugge KV15 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charleroi9 August 2026

What these results say

  • SK Beveren failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • SK Beveren conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for SK Beveren had three goals or more.
  • OH Leuven did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • OH Leuven conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for OH Leuven had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15SK Beveren113171323-1010
10OH Leuven113351217-512

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SK Beveren vs OH Leuven

  • 12 July 2023OH Leuven 5–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
  • 18 April 2021OH Leuven 1–2 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
  • 29 August 2020SK Beveren 1–3 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 6 February 2016SK Beveren 2–2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 24 October 2015OH Leuven 0–2 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: SK Beveren and OH Leuven

SK Beveren

GoalsAssists

  • C. Lokesa50

OH Leuven

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SK Beveren beat OH Leuven 3–0. The model had made a win for SK Beveren its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: C. Lokesa 69' for SK Beveren, J. Margaritha 85' for SK Beveren, E. Kabore 90' for SK Beveren. On expected goals it finished 2.68–0.88.

How the call on SK Beveren v OH Leuven has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 36% / 29% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 38% / 30% / 32%: the biggest move is OH Leuven's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. SK Beveren win38%▲ +2
  2. Draw30%▲ +1
  3. OH Leuven win32%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.