6 September 2026, 17:15 UTC

SK Beveren vs OH Leuven Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
Full time3 – 0

Final score: SK Beveren 3-0 OH Leuven.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% SK Beveren, 30% draw, 32% OH Leuven — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SK Beveren at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SK Beveren99%Draw1%OH Leuven0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Bruno Godeau
31'
56'
🔁T. Ogiwaraout: A. K. Traore
🔁L. Mertensout: E. Kabore
60'
Jearl Margaritha
62'
68'
Jamie Lawrence
⚽C. Lokesaassist: J. Margaritha
69'
72'
🔁O. Gilout: D. Opoku
72'
🔁S. Yamadaout: W. Balikwisha
72'
🔁C. Ikwuemesiout: R. Mirisola
🔁C. Janssensout: D. Thompson
78'
🔁C. Lokesaout: A. Verschueren
78'
79'
Birger Verstraete
⚽J. Margarithaassist: A. Verschueren
85'
87'
🔁W. Georgeout: K. Vaesen
🔁C. Brulsout: F. Slegers
89'
🔁J. Margarithaout: K. Abrahams
89'
⚽E. Kaboreassist: D. Thompson
90'

Match stats — SK Beveren vs OH Leuven

48%Possession52%
13Shots14
7On target4
7Corners5
2.68xG0.88

Goals against chances

SK Beveren3 from 2.68 xGabout what the chances were worth
OH Leuven0 from 0.88 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SK Beveren 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. SchenkG
  • 21L. JansD
  • 35Y. GomisD
  • 31B. GodeauD
  • 4C. JanssensD
  • 18S. DewaeleM
  • 44C. CondeM
  • 5C. LokesaM
  • 22C. BrulsM
  • 17J. MargarithaM
  • 92L. MertensF
Substitutes
  • 84J. LusambaG
  • 2D. ThompsonD
  • 48J. RobatschD
  • 14L. KuavitaM
  • 24A. VerschuerenM
  • 10G. De SchryverM
  • 8F. SlegersM
  • 34K. AbrahamsF
  • 9E. KaboreF
Coach: Tim Bakens
OH Leuven 3-1-4-2
  • 1D. van den HeuvelG
  • 5J. LawrenceD
  • 3N. DussenneD
  • 28E. PletinckxD
  • 4B. VerstraeteM
  • 27O. GilM
  • 6W. George
  • 8S. SchrijversM
  • 26T. OgiwaraM
  • 20S. YamadaF
  • 19C. IkwuemesiF
Substitutes
  • 61O. JochmansG
  • 34R. NyakossiD
  • 30A. FontanarosaD
  • 99D. OpokuD
  • 48B. KayoM
  • 24L. LakomyM
  • 21W. BalikwishaF
  • 18R. MirisolaF
  • 17K. VaesenF
Coach: Timmy Simons

Form going into SK Beveren vs OH Leuven

SK Beveren

  • L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
  • W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026

OH Leuven

  • L0-1away to Gent3 September 2026
  • L1-2Standard Liege29 August 2026
  • L0-3Club Brugge KV15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8SK Beveren6303710-39
17OH Leuven6015313-101

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SK Beveren vs OH Leuven

  • 6 September 2026SK Beveren 3–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 12 July 2023OH Leuven 5–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
  • 18 April 2021OH Leuven 1–2 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
  • 29 August 2020SK Beveren 1–3 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 6 February 2016SK Beveren 2–2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 24 October 2015OH Leuven 0–2 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: SK Beveren and OH Leuven

SK Beveren

  • C. Lokesa3 goals

OH Leuven

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.