10 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis 1. Division prediction & result

GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Referee: Marios Christoforou
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Nea Salamis.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Apoel Nicosia, 22% draw, 23% Nea Salamis — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Apoel Nicosia at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Apoel Nicosia6%Draw90%Nea Salamis4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Fabricio Pedrozo (pen)
23'
46'
🔁Jordi Quintillàout: Brahim Konate
54'
⚽Aldair Balde
🔁Filip Đuričićout: Stavros Georgiou
61'
62'
Brahim Konate
63'
🔁Panagiotis Loukaout: Darío Poveda
63'
🔁elia konstantinosout: andreas panagiotou
Antonín Barák
67'
Joan Sastre
73'
75'
Alberto Varo
🔁Joan Sastreout: Marquinhos
75'
🔁Anastasios Bakasetasout: Daniel Mancini
75'
76'
🔁Giannis Gerolemouout: Vasilis Lampropoulos
Konstantinos Stafylidis
78'
81'
🔁Samuel Grandsirout: Braydon Manu
⚽Dalcio
90+1'
Marquinhos
90+2'
🔁Antonín Barákout: Facundo Pérez
90+3'
🔁Fabricio Pedrozoout: Stylianos Vrontis
90+3'

Line-ups

Apoel Nicosia
  • 4G. AngelopoulosF
  • 27V. BelecG
  • 3K. StafylidisD
  • 25Joan SastreD
  • 15F. PedrozoF
  • 18D. LimniosF
  • 31F. ĐuričićM
  • 8DálcioM
  • 16Álvaro CarrilloD
  • 72A. BarákM
  • 9A. BakasetasM
Substitutes
  • 5M. DegenekM
  • 32I. AvramidisM
  • 11Gabriel MaioliF
  • 14Ángel GarcíaM
  • 70S. GeorgiouF
  • 45Konstantinos giannakouD
  • 7D. ManciniM
  • 10MarquinhosF
  • 99F. PérezM
Coach: N. Papadopoulos
Nea Salamis
  • 1Alberto VaróG
  • 17AldairF
  • 4P. ArtymatasD
  • 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
  • 71G. GerolemouM
  • 7S. GrandsirM
  • 29F. HaninD
  • 25K. IliaM
  • 89P. LoukaF
  • 5A. MichailD
  • 88Jordi QuintillàM
Substitutes
  • 8José ArtilesM
  • 12A. DimitriouD
  • 10C. GiousisF
  • 14T. Johnson EbohM
  • 93B. KonatéM
  • 63D. KovácsG
  • 24V. LampropoulosD
  • 37B. ManuF
  • 30A. Panagiotou FiliotisD
Coach: Ángel López

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Apoel Nicosia95222111+1017
10Nea Salamis92251418-48

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis

  • 8 January 2025Nea Salamis 1–1 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
  • 22 September 2024Apoel Nicosia 3–1 Nea Salamis1. Division
  • 26 January 2024Nea Salamis 0–4 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
  • 21 October 2023Apoel Nicosia 1–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
  • 6 March 2023Apoel Nicosia 3–0 Nea Salamis1. Division

Leading scorers: Apoel Nicosia and Nea Salamis

Apoel Nicosia

GoalsAssists

  • F. Pedrozo50
  • Marquinhos20
  • K. Stafylidis11

Nea Salamis

GoalsAssists

  • S. Grandsir30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Apoel Nicosia beat Nea Salamis 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Apoel Nicosia at 55%. The goals: Fabricio Pedrozo (penalty) 23' for Apoel Nicosia, Aldair Balde 54' for Nea Salamis, Dalcio 90+1' for Apoel Nicosia.

How the call on Apoel Nicosia v Nea Salamis has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 49% / 25% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 55% / 22% / 23%: the biggest move is Apoel Nicosia's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Apoel Nicosia win55%▲ +6
  2. Draw22%▼ −3
  3. Nea Salamis win23%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.