Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Nea Salamis.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Apoel Nicosia, 22% draw, 23% Nea Salamis — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Apoel Nicosia at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 4G. AngelopoulosF
- 27V. BelecG
- 3K. StafylidisD
- 25Joan SastreD
- 15F. PedrozoF
- 18D. LimniosF
- 31F. ĐuričićM
- 8DálcioM
- 16Álvaro CarrilloD
- 72A. BarákM
- 9A. BakasetasM
- 5M. DegenekM
- 32I. AvramidisM
- 11Gabriel MaioliF
- 14Ángel GarcíaM
- 70S. GeorgiouF
- 45Konstantinos giannakouD
- 7D. ManciniM
- 10MarquinhosF
- 99F. PérezM
- 1Alberto VaróG
- 17AldairF
- 4P. ArtymatasD
- 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
- 71G. GerolemouM
- 7S. GrandsirM
- 29F. HaninD
- 25K. IliaM
- 89P. LoukaF
- 5A. MichailD
- 88Jordi QuintillàM
- 8José ArtilesM
- 12A. DimitriouD
- 10C. GiousisF
- 14T. Johnson EbohM
- 93B. KonatéM
- 63D. KovácsG
- 24V. LampropoulosD
- 37B. ManuF
- 30A. Panagiotou FiliotisD
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 17 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis
- 8 January 2025Nea Salamis 1–1 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
- 22 September 2024Apoel Nicosia 3–1 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 26 January 2024Nea Salamis 0–4 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
- 21 October 2023Apoel Nicosia 1–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 6 March 2023Apoel Nicosia 3–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
Leading scorers: Apoel Nicosia and Nea Salamis
Apoel Nicosia
GoalsAssists
- F. Pedrozo50
- Marquinhos20
- K. Stafylidis11
Nea Salamis
GoalsAssists
- S. Grandsir30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Apoel Nicosia beat Nea Salamis 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Apoel Nicosia at 55%. The goals: Fabricio Pedrozo (penalty) 23' for Apoel Nicosia, Aldair Balde 54' for Nea Salamis, Dalcio 90+1' for Apoel Nicosia.
How the call on Apoel Nicosia v Nea Salamis has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 49% / 25% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 55% / 22% / 23%: the biggest move is Apoel Nicosia's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Apoel Nicosia win55%▲ +6
- Draw22%▼ −3
- Nea Salamis win23%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.