10 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol 1. Division prediction & result

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Konstantinos Fotiou
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Krasava Ypsonas 1-3 Apollon Limassol.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Krasava Ypsonas, 27% draw, 47% Apollon Limassol — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Apollon Limassol at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krasava Ypsonas0%Draw3%Apollon Limassol97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
Emanuel Aiwu
38'
⚽Gustavo Assunção
⚽Luiyi de Lucas
42'
46'
🔁Brandon Thomasout: Alen Ožbolt
46'
🔁Emanuel Aiwuout: Bruno Gaspar
Kevin Luckassen
46'
🔁Yassine Bahassaout: Marco Camús
57'
🔁Kevin Luckassenout: Evgen Budnik
57'
64'
Gustavo Assunção
🔁Vasilios Papafotisout: Michalis Panagidis
69'
73'
🔁Morgan Brownout: Ivan Ljubić
73'
🔁Gaetan Weissbeckout: Dani Escriche
Luiyi de Lucas
74'
80'
⚽Bruno Gaspar
🔁Rubén Pardoout: Xavier Quintilla
85'
Tabekou Ouambé
88'
Bismark Boateng
90+3'
90+4'
⚽Garry Rodrigues

Line-ups

Krasava Ypsonas
  • 25A. ChristodoulouG
  • 13Tabekou OuambéF
  • 14Rubén PardoM
  • 10V. PapafotisM
  • 77G. KiakosD
  • 30F. KatelarisM
  • 3L. de LucasD
  • 29Issam ChebakeD
  • 42K. LuckassenF
  • 19N. BoatengM
  • 28Yassine BahassaF
Substitutes
  • 22P. AngeliM
  • 33K. VenizelouD
  • 93A. RichterG
  • 75Y. AvramenkoG
  • 9E. BudnikF
  • 80Marco CamusF
  • 8N. DosisM
  • 12Andreas GeorgiouM
  • 21D. KeitaF
Coach: Marios Neophytou
Apollon Limassol
  • 22P. KühnG
  • 4E. AiwuD
  • 29J. AsoroF
  • 12Gustavo AssunçãoM
  • 5M. BrownM
  • 37L. KonomisM
  • 44J. KvídaD
  • 14G. MalekkidesD
  • 10Garry RodriguesF
  • 23Brandon ThomasF
  • 27G. WeissbeckM
Substitutes
  • 99I. UgboF
  • 31K. StylianouG
  • 26A. ShikkisD
  • 9A. OžboltF
  • 77I. LjubicD
  • 76Bruno GasparD
  • 30Dani EscricheF
  • 38K. BalogiannisD
  • 19Nearchos zinonosD
Coach: H. Losada

Form going into Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol

Krasava Ypsonas

No earlier matches on record this season.

Apollon Limassol

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4Brann11 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Brann5 August 2026
  • W3-0Dila28 July 2026
  • W4-0away to Dila23 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Krasava Ypsonas9126920-115
5Apollon Limassol94412111+1016

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol

  • 21 December 2025Krasava Ypsonas 0–1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
  • 29 August 2025Apollon Limassol 0–3 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
  • 2 August 2025Krasava Ypsonas 2–2 Apollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol

Krasava Ypsonas

GoalsAssists

  • S. Tabekou21
  • Yassine Bahassa11

Apollon Limassol

GoalsAssists

  • Brandon Thomas41
  • A. Ožbolt40
  • Garry Rodrigues24

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Apollon Limassol won 3–1 at Krasava Ypsonas. The model had made a win for Apollon Limassol its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Gustavo Assunção 38' for Apollon Limassol, Luiyi de Lucas 42' for Krasava Ypsonas, Bruno Gaspar 80' for Apollon Limassol, Garry Rodrigues 90+4' for Apollon Limassol.

How the call on Krasava Ypsonas v Apollon Limassol has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 28% / 29% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 26% / 27% / 47%: the biggest move is Apollon Limassol's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Krasava Ypsonas win26%▼ −2
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Apollon Limassol win47%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.