US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: US Ben Guerdane 2-1 Club Africain.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% US Ben Guerdane, 29% draw, 44% Club Africain — fair odds of 3.70, 3.45 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Club Africain at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain
US Ben Guerdane
Ligue 1
- W1-0CS Hammam-Lif20 September 2026
- D1-1CS Sfaxien16 September 2026
Club Africain
Ligue 1
- W1-0ES Zarzis20 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Club Africain | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain
- 8 March 2026US Ben Guerdane 0–1 Club AfricainLigue 1
- 28 September 2025Club Africain 2–0 US Ben GuerdaneLigue 1
- 26 January 2025Club Africain 0–0 US Ben GuerdaneLigue 1
- 31 August 2024US Ben Guerdane 2–2 Club AfricainLigue 1
- 21 April 2024US Ben Guerdane 1–1 Club AfricainCup
The result against the call
US Ben Guerdane beat Club Africain 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Club Africain at 44% and given a win for US Ben Guerdane 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: D. Oboh 18' for US Ben Guerdane, O. Elsharimi 24' for Club Africain, W. Salhi 90+5' for US Ben Guerdane.
How the call on US Ben Guerdane v Club Africain has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 28% / 30% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 27% / 29% / 44%: the biggest move is Club Africain's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- US Ben Guerdane win27%▼ −1
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Club Africain win44%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.