Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa First League prediction & result
Final score: Arda Kardzhali 2-0 Botev Vratsa.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Arda Kardzhali, 27% draw, 21% Botev Vratsa — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arda Kardzhali at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
- W1-0away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv24 August 2026
- W3-1Lokomotiv Sofia17 August 2026
Botev Vratsa
- W1-0Botev Plovdiv24 August 2026
- L0-5away to CSKA Sofia16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa
- 10 July 2026Botev Vratsa 1–0 Arda KardzhaliFriendlies Clubs
- 7 March 2026Botev Vratsa 1–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 11 February 2026Botev Vratsa 2–3 Arda KardzhaliCup
- 28 September 2025Arda Kardzhali 0–2 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 19 April 2025Botev Vratsa 3–1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 8 November 2024Arda Kardzhali 2–0 Botev VratsaFirst League