2 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result

Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Slavia Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Slavia Sofia, 31% draw, 38% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 3.23, 3.23 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levski Sofia at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Sofia0%Draw3%Levski Sofia97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
🔁Mehdi Moubarikout: Christian Makoun
40'
🔁Nikola Serafimovout: Marko Grujić
Vladimir Miletic
45+5'
46'
🔁Asen Mitkovout: Maicon
⚽Emil Stoev
57'
🔁Ivan Minchevout: umaro balde
67'
🔁Roberto Iliev Raychevout: Kristiyan Stoyanov
67'
67'
🔁David Kussoout: Armstrong Oko-Flex
67'
🔁Álex Centellesout: Juan Perea
70'
⚽Armstrong Oko-Flex
🔁Emil Stoevout: vasil kazaldzhiev
74'
🔁Vladimir Mileticout: Lazar Marin
74'
76'
⚽Juan Perea
🔁Vladimir Nikolovout: yoan bornosuzov
82'
vasil kazaldzhiev
82'
90'

Match stats — Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia

37%Possession63%
4Shots11
2On target4
2Corners4

Line-ups

Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 99I. AndonovG
  • 87D. FerraressoD
  • 4N. SavićD
  • 5David MalembanaD
  • 20J. Semedo VarelaD
  • 95V. MiletićM
  • 11M. DossoM
  • 77E. StoevF
  • 73I. MinchevM
  • 7R. RaychevF
  • 88V. NikolovM
Substitutes
  • 6B. TodorovM
  • 27Umaro BaldéF
  • 9Y. BornosuzovF
  • 3M. GeorgievD
  • 19E. GogevF
  • 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
  • 16Maksimilian LazarovD
  • 24L. MarinD
  • 63L. NtumbaG
Coach: Ratko Dostanic
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 21AldairD
  • 31N. SerafimovD
  • 18G. TrdinM
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 19E. El MoubarikM
  • 10A. MitkovM
  • 17Everton BalaF
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 27David KussoF
  • 7ReinaldoF
Substitutes
  • 8M. GrujićM
  • 2Hevertton SantosD
  • 3MaiconF
  • 4C. MakounD
  • 11A. Oko-FlexF
  • 9J. PereaF
  • 77A. RaychevF
  • 22M. SoulaM
  • 28S. StoyanchovF
Coach: Julio Velázquez

Form going into Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia

Slavia Sofia

  • D1-1Septemvri Sofia28 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026

Levski Sofia

  • W3-1away to Botev Plovdiv30 August 2026
  • W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Slavia Sofia925286+211
1Levski Sofia9810214+1725

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia

  • 2 September 2026Slavia Sofia 1–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 4 December 2025Slavia Sofia 2–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 3 August 2025Levski Sofia 2–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 9 March 2025Levski Sofia 3–3 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 22 September 2024Slavia Sofia 0–1 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 29 March 2024Levski Sofia 2–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.