Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Monterrey 1-3 Atletico San Luis.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Monterrey, 29% draw, 28% Atletico San Luis — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Monterrey at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
Monterrey
- L0-2away to Leon22 August 2026
- W6-1FC Juarez16 August 2026
- W2-0away to Atlas2 August 2026
Atletico San Luis
- D1-1CF Pachuca23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Club America16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 10 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
- 4 April 2026Monterrey 1–2 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 19 July 2025Atletico San Luis 0–1 MonterreyLiga MX
- 23 February 2025Monterrey 3–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 8 December 2024Monterrey 5–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 5 December 2024Atletico San Luis 2–1 MonterreyLiga MX
- 5 October 2024Atletico San Luis 1–0 MonterreyLiga MX
Leading scorers: Monterrey and Atletico San Luis
Monterrey
- L. Ocampos5 goals1 assists
Atletico San Luis
- Rafa Llorente3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.