Arezzo vs Palermo Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Arezzo 2-3 Palermo.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Arezzo, 28% draw, 29% Palermo — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arezzo at 43% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Arezzo vs Palermo
Arezzo
- W2-1away to Avellino22 August 2026
Palermo
- W1-0Juve Stabia23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 2 | Palermo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Arezzo and Palermo
Arezzo
- P. Cianci2 goals1 assists
Palermo
- D. Johnsen3 goals2 assists
- J. Pohjanpalo1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.