Benevento vs Sudtirol Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Benevento 1-1 Sudtirol.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Benevento, 31% draw, 33% Sudtirol — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Benevento at 36% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Benevento vs Sudtirol
Benevento
- L1-2Modena22 August 2026
Sudtirol
- W1-0Virtus Entella22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Benevento | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Benevento vs Sudtirol
- 1 March 2023Benevento 0–2 SudtirolSerie B
- 9 October 2022Sudtirol 1–1 BeneventoSerie B
Leading scorers: Benevento and Sudtirol
Benevento
- F. Salvemini2 goals
Sudtirol
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.