Pisa vs Catanzaro Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Pisa 2-1 Catanzaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Pisa, 28% draw, 25% Catanzaro — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pisa at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pisa vs Catanzaro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 98A. ConfenteG
- 33A. CalabresiD
- 5S. CanestrelliD
- 2R. BozhinovD
- 72S. ZanonM
- 55G. LeoneM
- 29O. CorreiaM
- 3S. AngoriM
- 7M. LerisF
- 10M. TramoniF
- 37A. PetagnaF
- 22L. LoriaG
- 26F. CoppolaD
- 19T. EstevesD
- 44D. DenoonD
- 13A. PrimassoD
- 4A. CaraccioloD
- 21I. VuralM
- 14F. LoyolaD
- 18N. BonfantiF
- 22M. PigliacelliG
- 24M. RuggeroD
- 4Matias AntoniniD
- 26B. VerrengiaD
- 27A. CandelaM
- 10J. PetriccioneM
- 98N. MostiM
- 77M. D'AlessandroM
- 30G. AlesiF
- 9P. IemmelloF
- 19N. KoffiF
- 1C. MariettaG
- 3M. ImperialeD
- 6N. Postiglione
- 93M. DorvalD
- 14S. GiovaneM
- 62R. FrosininiD
- 18A. GarnicaF
- 29F. Di FrancescoF
- 7N. BusoF
Form going into Pisa vs Catanzaro
Pisa
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Padova23 August 2026
Catanzaro
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Vicenza Virtus21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 16 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pisa vs Catanzaro
- 19 January 2025Catanzaro 0–0 PisaSerie B
- 30 October 2024Pisa 0–0 CatanzaroSerie B
- 26 April 2024Pisa 2–2 CatanzaroSerie B
- 9 December 2023Catanzaro 2–0 PisaSerie B
Leading scorers: Pisa and Catanzaro
Pisa
GoalsAssists
- F. Pittarello41
- M. Tramoni35
- T. Marras31
Catanzaro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pisa beat Catanzaro 2–1. The model had made a win for Pisa its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: P. Iemmello 22' for Catanzaro, S. Canestrelli 28' for Pisa, G. Leone 30' for Pisa. On expected goals it finished 2.04–1.11.