Pisa vs Catanzaro Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Pisa 2-1 Catanzaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Pisa, 28% draw, 25% Catanzaro — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pisa at 47% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Pisa vs Catanzaro
Pisa
- L0-1Padova23 August 2026
Catanzaro
- L2-3away to Vicenza Virtus21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Catanzaro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pisa vs Catanzaro
- 19 January 2025Catanzaro 0–0 PisaSerie B
- 30 October 2024Pisa 0–0 CatanzaroSerie B
- 26 April 2024Pisa 2–2 CatanzaroSerie B
- 9 December 2023Catanzaro 2–0 PisaSerie B
Leading scorers: Pisa and Catanzaro
Pisa
- M. Tramoni1 goals2 assists
Catanzaro
- P. Iemmello2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.