Arsenal sit 15th in the UEFA Champions League on 3 points from 1 match, having scored 1 and conceded 0. The model rates their attack at 1.12× the league average and their defence at 0.62× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Their only league match so far ended in a win, beating Napoli 1-0 away. That is level on points with Paris Saint Germain at the top, in a table of 36, with only goal difference between them. Among the 33 rated sides in the division that is the 17th-best attack and the 1st-best defence. Next they travel to Brighton in the Premier League on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 31%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Arsenal sit 15 of 36, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0away to Napoli9 September 2026
Last 1 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Arsenal vs Brighton
Arsenal travel to Brighton at Amex Stadium, Brighton on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 31% Arsenal, 31% draw and 38% Brighton, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.01 expected goals for Arsenal against 1.22. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Full preview and model analysis for Arsenal vs Brighton
Recent meetings with Brighton
- 4 March 2026Brighton 0–1 ArsenalPremier League
- 27 December 2025Arsenal 2–1 BrightonPremier League
- 29 October 2025Arsenal 2–0 BrightonLeague Cup
- 4 January 2025Brighton 1–1 ArsenalPremier League
- 31 August 2024Arsenal 1–1 BrightonPremier League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.