ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: ASO Chlef 1-1 MB Rouisset.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% ASO Chlef, 30% draw, 36% MB Rouisset — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
MB Rouisset at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 30C. Rahmani
- 26A. Debbari
- 13S. Lamrani
- 3O. Benattia
- 28A. Hamdani
- 14O. Diakite
- 12I. Moussa
- 8M. Abboub
- 15C. Bekkouche
- 22E. Ledlum
- 7Z. Motrani
- 20B. Brahimi
- 4Z. Abdelli
- 1A. Tergou
- 18D. Belalem
- 17S. Aiboud
- 6M. Belaribi
- 2A. Benchouya
- 27A. Feddal
- 11Y. Belaribi
- 1D. Rahal
- 25M. I. Bensari
- 6M. Benzaid
- 5B. Benammar
- 17Z. Benabda
- 26A. El Orfi
- 23M. Tlili
- 13M. Moluh Mounta
- 7N. Ben Kheira
- 11B. Hend
- 19R. Hamroune
- 14A. Chadli
- 16L. Aggoune
- 24A. K. Amqran
- 4H. Fatawu
- 29M. Muhammad
- 27A. Derder
- 15A. Zakaria
- 22M. Djahdou
Form going into ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset
ASO Chlef
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to Témouchent18 October 2026
- D1-1MC Alger13 October 2026
MB Rouisset
Ligue 1
- W1-0JS Saoura18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Témouchent14 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | ASO Chlef | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 4 | MB Rouisset | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset
- 28 February 2026MB Rouisset 1–1 ASO ChlefLigue 1
- 27 September 2025ASO Chlef 1–1 MB RouissetLigue 1
The result against the call
ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for MB Rouisset at 36% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Hamdani 36' for ASO Chlef, A. K. Amqran 90+4' for MB Rouisset.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave ASO Chlef a 49.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 41.2% after a win, 50.9% after a draw, 56.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 50.9%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.
For MB Rouisset the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 13.2% going in: 16.1% after a win, 11.4% after a draw, 10.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 11.4%, 1.8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on ASO Chlef v MB Rouisset has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 34% / 30% / 36%: the biggest move is ASO Chlef's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- ASO Chlef win34%▼ −3
- Draw30%=
- MB Rouisset win36%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.