Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Anorthosis 2-0 Omonia Aradippou.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Anorthosis, 33% draw, 30% Omonia Aradippou — fair odds of 2.70, 3.03 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Anorthosis at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 20C. AboagyeM
- 28J. KarlstrømG
- 44N. TošićD
- 22K. SergiouD
- 36Stijn MiddendorpM
- 5KikoM
- 47A. KaramanolisD
- 45Gabriel FurtadoD
- 11B. DioneF
- 9Alessio Da CruzM
- 88A. ChrysostomouM
- 65Sabrawi AliF
- 4K. ArtymatasM
- 57E. Charalambous
- 18stephanos charalambousM
- 70M. IliaF
- 7T. KissF
- 1K. PanayiG
- 21Rafael LopesF
- 32E. SosaF
- 22M. AntoniouD
- 34Danny Agostinho HenriquesD
- 81V. De MarcoD
- 8A. El BouchataouiM
- 20Jairo IzquierdoD
- 7M. KoumourisF
- 41Mathias GonzalezF
- 23Bogdan PetrovicF
- 9G. PontikosF
- 14J. van MullemM
- 12Ž. ŽivkovićG
- 1Gabriel PereiraG
- 15Unai GarcíaD
- 6N. HavelkaM
- 27S. LomónacoF
- 77C. MakossoF
- 25Andreas NikolaouD
- 91K. PanteliD
- 88G. PapacharalampousG
- 38A. PlumainF
Form going into Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou
Anorthosis
1. Division
- L0-1away to Omonia 29is Maiou18 October 2026
- L1-3Pafos11 October 2026
Omonia Aradippou
1. Division
- L0-2AEL18 October 2026
- L0-1away to AEK Larnaca12 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou
- 19 April 2026Anorthosis 1–1 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
- 13 December 2025Omonia Aradippou 1–0 Anorthosis1. Division
- 23 August 2025Anorthosis 0–0 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
- 12 April 2025Anorthosis 1–2 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
- 14 December 2024Anorthosis 3–0 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
- 11 December 2024Omonia Aradippou 2–4 AnorthosisCup
The result against the call
Anorthosis beat Omonia Aradippou 2–0. The model had made a win for Anorthosis its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Kiko 23' for Anorthosis, Rafael Lopes 90+1' for Anorthosis.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Anorthosis a 53.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 46.2% after a win, 55.8% after a draw, 63.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 46.2%, 7.5 points lower than before the match.
For Omonia Aradippou the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 33.6% going in: 23.5% after a win, 32.5% after a draw, 40.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.6%, 7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.