Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Olympiakos 1-1 Krasava Ypsonas.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Olympiakos, 23% draw, 18% Krasava Ypsonas — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Olympiakos at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 2C. FrantzisD
- 55Henrique GomesD
- 24M. TamásD
- 9Zannetos SavvaF
- 10D. ProkopM
- 8Bruno PazD
- 11A. LolisF
- 26P. KynigopoulosF
- 5Eduardo KundeD
- 12Jean FelipeD
- 1C. TalichmanidisG
- 21Constantinos christouM
- 4A. DoumasD
- 14Konstantinos EliaF
- 3Michalis FouliasD
- 29K. IrakleousF
- 31georgios kitsiosD
- 32M. KyriakouG
- 23M. PechlivanisF
- 22Marios Praxitelous Al HerekD
- 5Kristopher Da GracaD
- 25A. ChristodoulouG
- 28Yassine BahassaF
- 19N. BoatengM
- 42K. LuckassenF
- 12Andreas GeorgiouM
- 30F. KatelarisM
- 77G. KiakosD
- 10V. PapafotisM
- 14Rubén PardoM
- 13Tabekou OuambéF
- 20A. AthanasiouM
- 33K. VenizelouD
- 75Y. AvramenkoG
- 9E. BudnikF
- 8N. DosisM
- 21D. KeitaF
- 18D. MelnichenkoM
- 11M. PanagidisM
- 17L. PapastylianouF
Form going into Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
1. Division
- D2-2away to Omonia Nicosia19 October 2026
- L1-2Aris11 October 2026
Krasava Ypsonas
1. Division
- W2-1Karmiotissa17 October 2026
- L1-3Apollon Limassol10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Olympiakos | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas
- 21 March 2026Krasava Ypsonas 1–0 Olympiakos1. Division
- 12 January 2026Krasava Ypsonas 1–0 Olympiakos1. Division
- 19 September 2025Olympiakos 1–1 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
- 2 April 2025Olympiakos 1–1 Krasava Ypsonas2. Division
- 7 February 2025Krasava Ypsonas 1–2 Olympiakos2. Division
- 8 January 2025Krasava Ypsonas 0–0 Olympiakos2. Division
Leading scorers: Olympiakos and Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
GoalsAssists
- Zannetos Savva22
- Jean Felipe11
Krasava Ypsonas
GoalsAssists
- S. Tabekou21
- Yassine Bahassa11
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Olympiakos and Krasava Ypsonas drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Olympiakos at 59% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jean Felipe 27' for Olympiakos, Tabekou Ouambé 44' for Krasava Ypsonas.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Olympiakos a 28.3% chance to finish in the top six: 31.2% after a win, 22.3% after a draw, 18.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 22.3%, 6 points lower than before the match.
For Krasava Ypsonas the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 76.8% going in: 65.9% after a win, 74.2% after a draw, 80.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 74.2%, 2.6 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.