Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Asteras Tripolis, 29% draw, 36% Olympiakos Piraeus — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Olympiakos Piraeus at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1N. PapadopoulosG
- 27G. KotsirasD
- 74D. LaskarisD
- 32J. SilvaD
- 28A. MendezD
- 21D. KourbelisM
- 19F. OrozcoM
- 7J. BartoloM
- 10E. GonzalezM
- 11K. Ketu
- 39RicardinhoF
- 61V. ChatziemmanouilG
- 91T. KakadiarisG
- 17A. TereziouF
- 6K. ChrysopoulosD
- 16F. BrorssonD
- 8G. BouzoukisM
- 80B. Perez
- 23A. RieraM
- 44A. PapakanellosM
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 45P. RetsosD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 32S. HezzeM
- 16L. ScipioniM
- 20Jota SilvaM
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 73J. RocaM
- 9A. El KaabiF
- 31B. PopovicG
- 6D. CarmoD
- 70B. OnyemaechiD
- 4Z. SmajlovicD
- 14D. GarciaM
- 8G. SaM
- 96C. MouzakitisM
- 19R. FreulerM
- 7K. FortounisM
Form going into Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Panetolikos23 August 2026
Olympiakos Piraeus
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Atromitos22 August 2026
- L1-2away to NEC Nijmegen11 August 2026
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen4 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
- 4 February 2026Asteras Tripolis 0–3 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 24 September 2025Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Olympiakos PiraeusCup
- 23 August 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 2–0 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
- 9 February 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
- 27 October 2024Asteras Tripolis 1–0 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
GoalsAssists
- F. Macheda31
Olympiakos Piraeus
GoalsAssists
- Jota Silva51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Olympiakos Piraeus won 1–0 at Asteras Tripolis. The model had made a win for Olympiakos Piraeus its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Jota Silva 31' for Olympiakos Piraeus. On expected goals it finished 0.83–1.70.