30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Super League 1 prediction & result

Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Aris Thessalonikis 2-1 OFI.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Aris Thessalonikis, 29% draw, 27% OFI — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Aris Thessalonikis at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aris Thessalonikis99%Draw1%OFI0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Garciaassist: U. Racic
3'
12'
Andreas Bouchalakis
Manu García
19'
🔁S. Palaciosout: G. Gianniotas
46'
46'
🔁L. Dickmannout: B. Gonzalez
46'
🔁A. Bouchalakisout: Z. Karachalios
Benjamín Garré
51'
🔁T. Kadewereout: R. Mir
58'
🔁M. Garciaout: C. Kouame
58'
65'
🔁A. Cantalapiedraout: I. Apostolakis
66'
🔁T. Nussout: K. Kodro
⚽C. Kouame
68'
Noah Fadiga
73'
77'
Achilleas Poungouras
79'
🔁T. Fountasout: I. Theodosoulakis
🔁T. Dele-Bashiruout: M. Hongla
80'
Fredrik Jensen
81'
•Omar Richards
84'
⚽Uroš Račić (pen)
88'
Ricardo Velho
90+5'
🔁B. Garreout: J. Petris
90'
90'
⚽K. Kodroassist: N. Athanasiou

Match stats — Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI

42%Possession58%
17Shots10
10On target3
3Corners1
1.75xG1.34

Goals against chances

Aris Thessalonikis2 from 1.75 xGabout what the chances were worth
OFI1 from 1.34 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1
  • 33R. VelhoG
  • 27N. FadigaD
  • 4FabianoD
  • 97F. JensenD
  • 3O. RichardsD
  • 20T. Dele-BashiruM
  • 10U. RacicM
  • 7B. GarreM
  • 5M. GarciaM
  • 34S. PalaciosM
  • 9T. KadewereF
Substitutes
  • 1S. DioudisG
  • 21L. MajkicG
  • 44B. SutaloD
  • 2J. PetrisD
  • 88M. KerkezM
  • 18M. HonglaM
  • 22M. VoriazidisM
  • 70G. GianniotasF
  • 17R. MirF
Coach: Michalis Grigoriou
OFI 3-4-2-1
  • 31N. ChristogeorgosG
  • 15A. PoungourasD
  • 43D. NikolaouD
  • 2K. KrizmanicD
  • 24L. DickmannM
  • 14A. AndroutsosM
  • 41A. BouchalakisM
  • 3N. AthanasiouM
  • 11T. FountasF
  • 10A. CantalapiedraF
  • 18T. NussF
Substitutes
  • 13P. KatsikasG
  • 1K. LiloG
  • 17B. GonzalezD
  • 16C. SielisD
  • 90P. KenourgiakisD
  • 8G. KanellopoulosM
  • 6Z. KarachaliosM
  • 21I. ApostolakisM
  • 19K. KodroF
Coach: Christos Kontis

Form going into Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI

Aris Thessalonikis

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Kalamata22 August 2026

OFI

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to CSKA Sofia27 August 2026
  • W2-0Volos NFC23 August 2026
  • W3-0CSKA Sofia20 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Aris Thessalonikis106131617-119
6OFI105231412+217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI

  • 10 May 2026Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFISuper League 1
  • 3 May 2026OFI 0–2 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
  • 22 March 2026Aris Thessalonikis 0–2 OFISuper League 1
  • 4 October 2025OFI 3–0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
  • 3 May 2025OFI 1–1 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Aris Thessalonikis and OFI

Aris Thessalonikis

GoalsAssists

  • Fabiano40
  • C. Kouamé30
  • T. Kadewere30

OFI

GoalsAssists

  • K. Kodro40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Aris Thessalonikis beat OFI 2–1. The model had made a win for Aris Thessalonikis its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Garcia 3' for Aris Thessalonikis, C. Kouame 68' for Aris Thessalonikis, K. Kodro 90' for OFI. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.34.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.