30 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC Super League 1 prediction & result

Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Kifisia, 30% draw, 35% AEK Athens FC — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kifisia at 35% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kifisia0%Draw4%AEK Athens FC96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Imam Jagne
18'
18'
Aboubakary Koita
29'
🔁A. Koitaout: O. Zubkov
Hugo Sousa
31'
Roshon van Eijma
57'
Moisés Ramírez
63'
63'
Lazaros Rota
63'
⚽B. Vargaassist: R. Marin
🔁A. Sagalout: D. Theodoridis
68'
🔁G. Sousaout: Bernardo
69'
69'
🔁L. Majerout: P. Mantalos
69'
🔁M. Vitalisout: K. Kairinen
🔁I. Jagneout: J. Mboula
75'
🔁J. Antonisseout: K. Apostolakis
81'
🔁H. Sousaout: A. Christopoulos
82'
82'
🔁B. Vargaout: Zini
Roshon van Eijma
90+3'
Roshon van Eijma
90+3'
⚽Bernardoassist: C. Jolibois
90'

Match stats — Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC

35%Possession65%
14Shots9
3On target5
1Corners2
1.11xG0.42

Goals against chances

Kifisia1 from 1.11 xGabout what the chances were worth
AEK Athens FC1 from 0.42 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kifisia 4-2-3-1
  • 99M. RamirezG
  • 33H. SousaD
  • 34C. JoliboisD
  • 24R. van EijmaD
  • 23L. AbandaD
  • 19I. JagneM
  • 17K. RoukounakisM
  • 10G. SousaM
  • 6J. PomboM
  • 7J. AntonisseM
  • 28A. SagalF
Substitutes
  • 15A. AnagnostopoulosG
  • 26K. PolykratisD
  • 2K. ApostolakisM
  • 5A. PetkovD
  • 21N. KaloskamisD
  • 8BernardoM
  • 4G. DoiranlisM
  • 14T. Johnson EbohM
  • 20M. PatirasM
Coach: Sebastian Leto
AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
  • 1T. StrakoshaG
  • 12L. RotaD
  • 2H. MoukoudiD
  • 44F. RelvasD
  • 3S. PilioD
  • 14L. MajerM
  • 27M. VitalisM
  • 18R. MarinM
  • 11A. KoitaM
  • 19B. VargaF
  • 9L. JovicF
Substitutes
  • 91A. BrignoliG
  • 21D. VidaD
  • 22C. LykogiannisD
  • 15M. GeorgievD
  • 20P. MantalosM
  • 8M. GacinovicM
  • 16K. ArriagaM
  • 6K. KairinenM
  • 17D. Kaloskamis
Coach: Marko Nikolic

Form going into Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC

Kifisia

No earlier matches on record this season.

AEK Athens FC

  • W4-0Iraklis 190822 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Kifisia402226-42
5AEK Athens FC4220112+98

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kifisia vs AEK Athens FC

  • 30 August 2026Kifisia 1–1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
  • 22 March 2026AEK Athens FC 3–0 KifisiaSuper League 1
  • 5 October 2025Kifisia 2–3 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
  • 18 February 2024AEK Athens FC 3–0 KifisiaSuper League 1
  • 4 November 2023Kifisia 1–1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
  • 11 January 2023AEK Athens FC 3–0 KifisiaCup

Leading scorers: Kifisia and AEK Athens FC

Kifisia

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

AEK Athens FC

  • B. Varga4 goals
  • Zini2 goals
  • L. Jović2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.