Atlas vs Tigres UANL Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atlas 2-1 Tigres UANL.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Atlas, 30% draw, 31% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atlas at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atlas vs Tigres UANL
Atlas
- L0-2Monterrey2 August 2026
- W1-0away to Santos Laguna26 July 2026
- W3-2away to Leon18 July 2026
Tigres UANL
- L2-3away to Club Queretaro1 August 2026
- D2-2Atletico San Luis26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Club Tijuana17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atlas vs Tigres UANL
- 23 April 2026Atlas 0–0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 25 September 2025Tigres UANL 2–0 AtlasLiga MX
- 9 February 2025Tigres UANL 2–1 AtlasLiga MX
- 13 July 2024Atlas 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 25 February 2024Tigres UANL 1–1 AtlasLiga MX
- 18 September 2023Atlas 2–0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Leading scorers: Atlas and Tigres UANL
Atlas
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Tigres UANL
- J. Brunetta3 goals4 assists
- R. Aguirre3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.