16 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen Superliga prediction & result

Cepheus Park, Randers
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Randers FC 0-4 FC Copenhagen.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Randers FC, 27% draw, 41% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Copenhagen at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Randers FC0%Draw1%FC Copenhagen99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽B. Meling
14'
⚽B. Melingassist: A. Kral
🔁L. Pedersenout: M. Sjolstad
17'
45'
⚽M. Madsen
46'
🔁A. Corneliusout: G. Vianney Ndjee
54'
🔁D. Kotarskiout: R. A. Runarsson
69'
🔁B. Melingout: M. Lopez
69'
🔁Robertout: W. Clem
🔁S. Hansenout: F. Sommer
71'
🔁C. Edudziout: K. Junker
71'
77'
⚽M. Lopezassist: A. Kral
79'
🔁T. Delaneyout: M. Nasnas
🔁M. Greveout: H. Lux
86'
🔁N. Dyhrout: A. Al Hamawi
86'
A. Al Hamawi
90+5'

Match stats — Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen

56%Possession44%
10Shots19
0On target6
6Corners4
0.52xG1.21

Goals against chances

Randers FC0 from 0.52 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Copenhagen4 from 1.21 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Randers FC 4-2-3-1
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 3D. HoeghD
  • 4W. DammersD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 8L. PedersenM
  • 14F. LauenborgM
  • 11E. MahmoudM
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 33C. EdudziF
Substitutes
  • 22M. DemirciG
  • 15M. SjolstadD
  • 5O. JonesD
  • 31F. SommerD
  • 38M. AlbaekM
  • 26H. LuxM
  • 77K. JunkerF
  • 9A. Al HamawiF
  • 19M. ToureF
Coach: Rasmus Bertelsen
FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. KotarskiG
  • 20J. SuzukiD
  • 5Gabriel PereiraD
  • 2F. BeijmoD
  • 24B. MelingD
  • 33A. KralM
  • 27T. DelaneyM
  • 10M. ElyounoussiM
  • 21M. MadsenM
  • 16RobertM
  • 14A. CorneliusF
Substitutes
  • 31R. A. RunarssonG
  • 6A. MarkgrafD
  • 15M. LopezD
  • 36W. ClemM
  • 34M. NasnasM
  • 9Y. MoukokoF
  • 39V. DadasonF
  • 45G. OlsenF
  • 44G. Vianney NdjeeF
Coach: Bo Svensson

Form going into Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen

Randers FC

  • W2-0Lyngby9 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland2 August 2026
  • D1-1Silkeborg27 July 2026

FC Copenhagen

  • W5-1Debreceni VSC12 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Debreceni VSC6 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
  • W2-1Polessya29 July 2026
  • W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Randers FC8314910-110
1FC Copenhagen8701228+1421

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen

  • 16 August 2026Randers FC 0–4 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 17 May 2026FC Copenhagen 5–0 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 12 April 2026Randers FC 1–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 1 March 2026FC Copenhagen 1–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 31 August 2025Randers FC 1–5 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 18 May 2025Randers FC 0–4 FC CopenhagenSuperliga

Leading scorers: Randers FC and FC Copenhagen

Randers FC

  • M. Themsen3 goals1 assists
  • E. Mahmoud2 goals1 assists

FC Copenhagen

  • M. Elyounoussi6 goals2 assists
  • B. Meling4 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.