Monterrey vs FC Juarez Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Monterrey 6-1 FC Juarez.
Before kick-off the model made it 83% Monterrey, 10% draw, 7% FC Juarez — fair odds of 1.20, 10.00 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Monterrey at 83% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Monterrey vs FC Juarez
Monterrey
- W2-0away to Atlas2 August 2026
FC Juarez
- L1-5Pumas UNAM1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Guadalajara Chivas25 July 2026
- L0-1Puebla18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Monterrey vs FC Juarez
- 14 March 2026FC Juarez 2–2 MonterreyLiga MX
- 22 October 2025Monterrey 4–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 9 February 2025FC Juarez 2–1 MonterreyLiga MX
- 19 September 2024Monterrey 3–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 24 February 2024FC Juarez 0–3 MonterreyLiga MX
- 7 October 2023Monterrey 3–1 FC JuarezLiga MX
Leading scorers: Monterrey and FC Juarez
Monterrey
- L. Ocampos5 goals1 assists
FC Juarez
- Ó. Estupiñán3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.