Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Trabzonspor 5-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Trabzonspor, 29% draw, 33% Gençlerbirliği S.K. — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Trabzonspor at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Line-ups
- 24A. OnanaG
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 27C. NwaiwuD
- 15S. SavićD
- 19M. EskihellaçD
- 11O. TufanM
- 6FabinhoM
- 7E. MuçiM
- 10Mohamed SalahF
- 30P. OnuachuF
- 58A. ŞimşirF
- 4S. AkaydinD
- 25O. ÇevikkanG
- 9Franculino DjúF
- 99A. HabeşoğluF
- 57M. KabasakalM
- 55S. Lopes CabralD
- 77M. MimaroğluF
- 14U. NayirF
- 39C. ÖzkacarD
- 70İ. EğribayatG
- 13Pedro PereiraD
- 6D. GoutasD
- 2Thalisson KelvenD
- 88F. ÜzümD
- 42Ousmane DiabateM
- 14A. TraoréM
- 35O. ÜlgünM
- 10F. TongyaM
- 7Tiago GouveiaM
- 20S. KoïtaF
- 90M. BaltacıD
- 53M. ÇavuşoğluD
- 77A. DursunD
- 5O. EteboM
- 83Rafael LuÃsM
- 9Pedro MendesF
- 12V. OrakpoF
- 48S. UçanM
- 23G. AkkanG
Form going into Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
- L1-2away to Amed31 August 2026
- W2-1Başakşehir23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Kasımpaşa15 August 2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- D1-1Erzurumspor FK28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Göztepe23 August 2026
- W2-1Fenerbahçe15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trabzonspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 |
| 12 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 6 September 2026Trabzonspor 5–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 17 May 2026Trabzonspor 0–3 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 13 May 2026Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–2 TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
- 22 December 2025Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4–3 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 8 February 2024Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–2 TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
- 15 May 2021Trabzonspor 2–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
Leading scorers: Trabzonspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
- Mohamed Salah4 goals1 assists
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.