Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Kocaelispor 1-0 Samsunspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Kocaelispor, 31% draw, 32% Samsunspor — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Kocaelispor at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
Line-ups
- 83S. ÖztaşdelenG
- 2A. DijksteelD
- 4T. ZoukrouD
- 6M. MaglicaD
- 21M. HaïdaraD
- 14ShowM
- 7D. AgyeiM
- 22U. YıldızM
- 10B. KutluM
- 11Gonçalo Santos SousaM
- 97F. AyéF
- 26M. AltunbaşF
- 32M. BakuM
- 27Ege BilimM
- 75T. BingölD
- 3M. CinanD
- 8T. GulliksenM
- 5E. OrtakayaD
- 41O. ÖztongaD
- 23O. PiriG
- 1O. KocukG
- 2J. MendesD
- 22Y. ÇiftD
- 34G. GuarinoD
- 17L. TómassonD
- 20Y. KayanM
- 5C. YükselM
- 8S. OnurM
- 11E. KılınçM
- 30Saikuba JarjuF
- 42Y. SekongoF
- 16S. ErakovićD
- 13Efe ÜstünG
- 3I. DrapińskiD
- 25B. BayazıtG
- 23E. AlbakD
- 29H. TanD
Form going into Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Konyaspor29 August 2026
- W2-0Amed24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Başakşehir16 August 2026
Samsunspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Fenerbahçe30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Rizespor22 August 2026
- D3-3Göztepe17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
- 24 January 2026Samsunspor 0–0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
- 16 August 2025Kocaelispor 0–1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
- 21 January 2022Samsunspor 3–0 Kocaelispor1. Lig
- 28 August 2021Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor1. Lig
Leading scorers: Kocaelispor and Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
GoalsAssists
- B. Kutlu51
Samsunspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kocaelispor beat Samsunspor 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Kocaelispor at 37%. The goal: Florian Aye 26' for Kocaelispor.
How the call on Kocaelispor v Samsunspor has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 37% / 31% / 32%: the biggest move is Kocaelispor's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Kocaelispor win37%▼ −2
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Samsunspor win32%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.