29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC Bundesliga prediction & result

Merkur-Arena, Graz
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Grazer AK 0-0 Wolfsberger AC.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Grazer AK, 26% draw, 32% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Grazer AK at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Grazer AK6%Draw91%Wolfsberger AC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
Nicolas Wimmer
20'
🔁D. Avdijajout: M. Kitz
Peter Michorl
27'
27'
Raffael Behounek
46'
🔁P. Verhounigout: T. Schriebl
Donovan Pines
48'
Daniel Maderner
61'
61'
Marco Sulzner
🔁D. Madernerout: M. Grosse
66'
72'
🔁A. Schwarzout: R. Renner
72'
🔁O. Mamageishviliout: E. Agyemang
74'
Fabian Wohlmuth
🔁Andersonout: J. Italiano
76'
🔁I. Guertiout: C. Lichtenberger
76'
80'
🔁G. Vrioniout: S. Karamoko

Match stats — Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

70%Possession30%
27Shots5
7On target1
11Corners4
2.13xG0.14

Goals against chances

Grazer AK0 from 2.13 xGless than the chances were worth
Wolfsberger AC0 from 0.14 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Grazer AK 3-4-3
  • 23C. StankovicG
  • 82B. OwusuD
  • 2D. PinesD
  • 27Y. OberleitnerD
  • 28AndersonM
  • 8T. KochM
  • 34P. MichorlM
  • 32L. KlassenM
  • 25A. HofleitnerF
  • 9D. MadernerF
  • 29I. GuertiF
Substitutes
  • 26C. NichtG
  • 1J. MeierhoferG
  • 14J. ItalianoD
  • 48M. GraggerD
  • 72P. MarkovicD
  • 30C. HasenhuttlD
  • 11M. GrosseF
  • 10C. LichtenbergerM
  • 52J. RumplM
Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner
Wolfsberger AC 3-4-2-1
  • 1L. GutlbauerG
  • 6R. BehounekD
  • 8S. PiesingerD
  • 37N. WimmerD
  • 31F. WohlmuthM
  • 30M. SulznerM
  • 19O. MamageishviliM
  • 11A. SchwarzM
  • 23P. VerhounigF
  • 10D. AvdijajF
  • 9G. VrioniF
Substitutes
  • 12L. Gliklich
  • 35M. KitzD
  • 77R. RennerD
  • 34E. AgyemangM
  • 20T. SchrieblM
  • 17M. Schabauer
  • 7L. HasslerM
  • 32M. PinkF
  • 49S. KaramokoF
Coach: Thomas Silberberger

Form going into Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

Grazer AK

  • L0-1away to Ried21 August 2026
  • L0-8away to Rapid Vienna16 August 2026
  • W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026

Wolfsberger AC

  • L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
  • D1-1Red Bull Salzburg9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Grazer AK6213414-107
9Wolfsberger AC612369-35

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

  • 29 August 2026Grazer AK 0–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
  • 25 April 2026Wolfsberger AC 1–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 14 March 2026Grazer AK 2–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
  • 8 February 2026Wolfsberger AC 2–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 4 October 2025Grazer AK 1–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
  • 30 November 2024Grazer AK 3–4 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga

Leading scorers: Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC

Grazer AK

  • A. Hofleitner2 goals

Wolfsberger AC

  • G. Vrioni4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.