Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Grazer AK 0-0 Wolfsberger AC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Grazer AK, 26% draw, 32% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Grazer AK at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23C. StankovicG
- 82B. OwusuD
- 2D. PinesD
- 27Y. OberleitnerD
- 28AndersonM
- 8T. KochM
- 34P. MichorlM
- 32L. KlassenM
- 25A. HofleitnerF
- 9D. MadernerF
- 29I. GuertiF
- 26C. NichtG
- 1J. MeierhoferG
- 14J. ItalianoD
- 48M. GraggerD
- 72P. MarkovicD
- 30C. HasenhuttlD
- 11M. GrosseF
- 10C. LichtenbergerM
- 52J. RumplM
- 1L. GutlbauerG
- 6R. BehounekD
- 8S. PiesingerD
- 37N. WimmerD
- 31F. WohlmuthM
- 30M. SulznerM
- 19O. MamageishviliM
- 11A. SchwarzM
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 10D. AvdijajF
- 9G. VrioniF
- 12L. Gliklich
- 35M. KitzD
- 77R. RennerD
- 34E. AgyemangM
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 17M. Schabauer
- 7L. HasslerM
- 32M. PinkF
- 49S. KaramokoF
Form going into Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Ried21 August 2026
- L0-8away to Rapid Vienna16 August 2026
- W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026
- L0-3away to Lask Linz31 July 2026
Wolfsberger AC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
- D1-1Red Bull Salzburg9 August 2026
- W3-0Austria Vienna2 August 2026
What these results say
- Grazer AK conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Grazer AK failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Grazer AK failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grazer AK | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 10 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC
- 25 April 2026Wolfsberger AC 1–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 14 March 2026Grazer AK 2–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 8 February 2026Wolfsberger AC 2–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 4 October 2025Grazer AK 1–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 30 November 2024Grazer AK 3–4 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Leading scorers: Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
GoalsAssists
- A. Hofleitner40
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Grazer AK at 42% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Nicolas Wimmer (Wolfsberger AC) 15'. On expected goals it finished 2.13–0.14.