Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Beşiktaş 1-0 Eyüpspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Beşiktaş, 21% draw, 20% Eyüpspor — fair odds of 1.69, 4.76 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beşiktaş at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Alexander NübelG
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 12Emmanuel AgbadouD
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 33Rıdvan YılmazD
- 6Salih ÖzcanM
- 18Václav ČernýM
- 15Junior OlaitanM
- 10Orkun KökçüM
- 19Leandro TrossardM
- 90Semih KılıçsoyF
- 29İlhan FakılıF
- 9Hyeon-gyu OhF
- 11Kassoum OuattaraD
- 7Milot RashicaM
- 4Wilfred NdidiM
- 80Doğan AlemdarG
- 62Amir MurilloD
- 53Emirhan TopçuD
- 5Amir HadžiahmetovićM
- 31Horațiu MoldovanG
- 2CalegariD
- 5Jawad El YamiqD
- 33Zak JulesD
- 7Talha ÜlvanD
- 10Abdelhamid SabiriM
- 88Chandrel MassangaM
- 77Konrad MichalakM
- 8David CostaM
- 11Lenny PintorM
- 29Ahmed AbdullahiF
- 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
- 98Bilal BoutobbaF
- 9Yusuf BarasıF
- 3Arda YavuzD
- 1Emre BilginG
- 44Ömer Ahmet CeyhanD
- 42Berhan SatliD
- 4Seyfettin Anıl YaşarD
- 18Hamza AkmanM
Form going into Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor
Beşiktaş
- W1-0Hradec Králové13 August 2026
- W1-0away to Hradec Králové6 August 2026
- W2-0away to FC Midtjylland30 July 2026
- W1-0FC Midtjylland23 July 2026
Eyüpspor
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 17 | Eyüpspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor
- 16 August 2026Beşiktaş 1–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 26 January 2026Eyüpspor 2–2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- 17 August 2025Beşiktaş 2–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 21 February 2025Eyüpspor 1–3 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- 22 September 2024Beşiktaş 2–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 16 January 2024Beşiktaş 4–0 EyüpsporTürkiye Kupası
Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and Eyüpspor
Beşiktaş
- D. Vlahović4 goals
- V. Černý2 goals
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.