Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Botev Plovdiv, 26% draw, 20% Lokomotiv Plovdiv — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Botev Plovdiv at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Line-ups
- 29D. NaumovG
- 27B. HeinD
- 4N. SoldoD
- 87S. PetrovD
- 82V. MendesD
- 77Lucas AraújoM
- 10A. ChandarovM
- 90S. KaluF
- 19Mauro RodriguesF
- 66C. MeottiF
- 13S. TsonovM
- 14Carlos AlgarraM
- 16V. VidolovM
- 20T. AwanyD
- 88W. ChimezieF
- 28Henrique JocúM
- 15B. KostovD
- 30Franklin MascoteF
- 17G. MilanovM
- 7Alberto SalidoM
- 1B. MilosavljevicG
- 2Adrián CovaD
- 44M. PetrovićD
- 13Lucas RyanD
- 5T. PavlovM
- 22I. IvanovD
- 12E. AliD
- 11R. LeijtenM
- 39P. UmarbayevM
- 7Sevi IdrizM
- 29Christ LongvilleF
- 40P. ZovkoG
- 9A. VelevF
- 6M. TrdanM
- 99J. LamyF
- 26D. Kirashki
- 10J. IlievM
- 17A. FaseF
- 4A. ChindrişD
- 19junior burbanF
Form going into Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Arda Kardzhali4 September 2026
- L1-3Levski Sofia30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Botev Vratsa24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Ludogorets15 August 2026
- W3-2Spartak Varna10 August 2026
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Cherno More Varna6 September 2026
- L0-2away to CSKA 194828 August 2026
- L0-1Arda Kardzhali24 August 2026
- L1-2Dunav Ruse16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Levski Sofia7 August 2026
What these results say
- Botev Plovdiv conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lokomotiv Plovdiv had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- 25 May 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 3 May 2026Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 8 April 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 12 February 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Botev PlovdivCup
- 1 November 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–4 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Leading scorers: Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
GoalsAssists
- C. Meotti10
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
No player in First League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Botev Plovdiv beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Botev Plovdiv at 54%. The goals: Asen Chandarov 9' for Botev Plovdiv, Mauro Rodrigues 44' for Botev Plovdiv.
How the call on Botev Plovdiv v Lokomotiv Plovdiv has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 54% / 26% / 20%: the biggest move is Botev Plovdiv's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Botev Plovdiv win54%▲ +7
- Draw26%▼ −2
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv win20%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.