Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Lokomotiv Sofia 0-2 CSKA Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Lokomotiv Sofia, 27% draw, 43% CSKA Sofia — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CSKA Sofia at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Line-ups
- 99M. VelichkovG
- 14A. LyaskovD
- 91R. BidoungaD
- 3K. KostovD
- 6EirôD
- 31K. StanoevM
- 20D. KostadinovM
- 7S. DelevF
- 16M. MedfaiM
- 77Caue CaruzoF
- 29A. AralicaF
- 8I. YordanovM
- 21K. ChachevM
- 22R. DaskalovD
- 5E. DostM
- 24A. LyubenovG
- 26K. MiloshevM
- 9G. MinchevF
- 42N. NeychevM
- 17M. PapazovF
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 37B. CotterD
- 14T. IvanovD
- 4Dinis AlmeidaD
- 17Á. MartinoD
- 99J. Eto'oM
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 7M. EbongM
- 38Léo PereiraF
- 9S. GodoyF
- 28I. PittasF
- 25D. EvtimovG
- 5J. GbaminM
- 67C. ItuM
- 30P. PanayotovM
- 2PastorD
- 32Facundo Santiago RodríguezD
- 8S. SensiM
- 94I. Solet BomawokoM
- 19A. YordanovM
Form going into Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Cherno More Varna11 September 2026
- L1-2Ludogorets6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Dunav Ruse31 August 2026
- L1-3away to Arda Kardzhali17 August 2026
- L1-3CSKA 19488 August 2026
CSKA Sofia
All competitions we cover
- W4-1Arda Kardzhali12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Spartak Varna5 September 2026
- W3-1Cherno More Varna30 August 2026
- L0-2OFI27 August 2026
- L0-3away to OFI20 August 2026
What these results say
- Lokomotiv Sofia did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Sofia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- CSKA Sofia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 |
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
- 8 March 2026CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 13 December 2025CSKA Sofia 2–1 Lokomotiv SofiaCup
- 27 September 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 2 April 2025CSKA Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 16 September 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 0–3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Lokomotiv Sofia and CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
GoalsAssists
- S. Delev11
- D. Kostadinov10
CSKA Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Jordão20
- I. Pittas10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Sofia won 2–0 at Lokomotiv Sofia. The model had made a win for CSKA Sofia its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: James Eto'o 38' for CSKA Sofia, Joel·Zwarts 84' for CSKA Sofia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.