Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna First League prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Sofia 0-0 Spartak Varna.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Slavia Sofia, 29% draw, 24% Spartak Varna — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Sofia at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Line-ups
- 99I. AndonovG
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 4N. SavićD
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 7R. RaychevF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 77E. StoevF
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 6B. TodorovM
- 8Petrov Georgi ShopovF
- 63L. NtumbaG
- 10V. NikolovM
- 24L. MarinD
- 16Maksimilian LazarovD
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 19E. GogevF
- 3M. GeorgievD
- 23P. IlievG
- 76David ValverdeD
- 44A. GranchovD
- 45J. TshitokuD
- 4B. IvanovD
- 19S. MajorM
- 17T. MarinovM
- 11Boubacar HanneF
- 82Tomás SilvaM
- 77A. IvanovF
- 70A. AhmedovF
- 90C. OkohF
- 1Pedro VictorG
- 9T. ChunchukovF
- 80A. GomesF
- 10J. LopesF
- 5D. KrastevD
- 20D. LozevD
- 72Vasco OliveiraD
- 16Edson SilvaM
Form going into Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Dunav Ruse7 September 2026
- L1-2Levski Sofia2 September 2026
- D1-1Septemvri Sofia28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Botev Vratsa10 August 2026
Spartak Varna
All competitions we cover
- D1-1CSKA Sofia5 September 2026
- D1-1Ludogorets30 August 2026
- L0-6away to Levski Sofia22 August 2026
- L0-1Septemvri Sofia17 August 2026
- L2-3away to Botev Plovdiv10 August 2026
What these results say
- Slavia Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Spartak Varna did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Spartak Varna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
- 10 May 2026Spartak Varna 2–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 6 March 2026Slavia Sofia 4–0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- 28 September 2025Spartak Varna 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 9 December 2024Spartak Varna 1–3 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 9 August 2024Slavia Sofia 3–1 Spartak VarnaFirst League
Leading scorers: Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Spartak Varna
GoalsAssists
- Georg Stojanovski11
- J. Tshitoku10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Slavia Sofia at 47% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Slavia Sofia v Spartak Varna has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 32% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 47% / 29% / 24%: the biggest move is Slavia Sofia's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Slavia Sofia win47%▲ +6
- Draw29%▼ −3
- Spartak Varna win24%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.